Saturday, September 14, 2019

Amy Klobuchar makes her move


She is running for Vice President.  


Third Debate
Democrats are mostly ignoring Amy Klobuchar. She is widely acceptable to voters,  but not very many people's number one. 

Amy Klobuchar has a brand. It is understood by people in Minnesota, where she is a US Senator, and it is understood by Democratic activists (now called the Twitter party) and by the media punditry. 

But she isn't well known generally. She is new on the national stage.

 Her brand: She is Minnesota nice. She is bipartisan. She represents an end to political trench warfare and ugly name calling. She is Midwestern-friendly. She is electable. She is politically moderate. She has the good qualities of Joe Biden, without his history, the gaffes, the vote in favor of the Iraq war, the Delaware corporate ties, the hair sniffing, the being too old. 

She is a woman, but doesn't subtly communicate she wants to go to war with men. She also isn't a Socialist, and she didn't say she was part Native American. She isn't homosexual. She isn't a billionaire. 

Because of all the things she is not, she is also not number one on very many voters' list. However, she did make the cut for the Third Debate, barely. 

Odd person out
She communicated at the Third Debate that she is OK with being second banana by how she dressed. She wore a teal jacket.


She didn't dress to command. She dressed to support.

Second Debate
Of course it was intentional. This was a showdown, game on. She didn't just impulsively pick something out of her closet on a whim. Indeed, her previous debate clothing drew attention and commentary, because it was exactly similar to Elizabeth Warren's. 

There was some joking media commentary on this--my goodness, two women wearing similar outfits to an event, how terrible!  

I consider this evidence of the triviality of media discourse on politics, particularly as it relates to female candidates, the commentary missing the point completely. In fact in the Second Debate each were costuming themselves in the uniform of command and power. That was the story: two women vying for power. Instead, the commentary treated it as a Hollywood fashion disaster.

Klobuchar knows how to dress for power. Her official photo shows her in perfect female power outfit, the clothes that 9 of 10 candidates on the Third Debate stage chose. Dark suit for men; solid colored black or blood red for women. Square shoulders. Small, non-flappy lapel.

Dressed to command
Klobuchar represents a swing state in the crucial swing area, the Upper Midwest. In a blowout election no area of the country matters, but in a close election it almost certainly comes down to Minnesota, Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania, four states with enough electoral votes to win or lose the election.

If California (Harris) is in play, then the Democrat is toast. If Texas is in play (O'Rourke, Castro) then Trump is toast.

If Biden becomes the nominee, the party of women needs a woman. Harris theoretically has appeal to black voters, but in reality Biden is getting them on his own, at least for now, via his association with Obama. The calculation may be that Trump will stimulate black turnout. The marginal turnout in question is women and voters in the Upper Midwest. Klobuchar fits the bill.

If Sanders or Warren become the nominee, Klobuchar would serve a different purpose, to show that the progressive nominee can work with moderates. A Sanders-Warren ticket--in either order-- might be ideologically consistent, but it would communicate immoderation of the kind the progressive base would love, but might distress moderates, and it might not engage Black and Latinix voters. 

Harris might be a better match for Sanders, and Booker or Buttigieg might be a better match for Warren, but Klobuchar has a great brand advantage over the other potential VPs. She projects reasonableness and moderation and low drama. And she is from Minnesota.

Washington taking command of Continental Army
Being VP to Sanders or Warren would be Klobuchar's Plan B. Her Plan A is being the solid, safe, youthful complement to Joe Biden. 

Klobuchar had an audience of one on debate night: Biden.

There is a look one carries when one is positioning oneself to take command. Klobuchar understands this, and she stepped back from it. 

It is sound, practical politics for her. Biden is old. So are Sanders and Warren. 

Lots could happen.





4 comments:

Art Baden said...

As interesting as the subject of feminine dress may be, what strikes me today is that as we watch Trump bumble his way across our political landscape, like a bull in a china shop destroying our governmental institutions, our societal norms, and kowtowing to his KGB handler Vladimir, we worry that Joe Biden might blow a line or two on a debate stage.
Julián Castro was vilified for seemingly attacking Biden’s memory abilities the other night. Perhaps on a debate stage, only Biden, the old white guy, could go after Trump in an ad hominem way without blowback accusing him of picking on an older man or accusing her of being a castrating b***h.

And I hate to break to our brother and sister Sandersnistas, but sorry 😐 , Uncle Bernie is, in the words of a Randy Newman song, “Dead, but he don’t know it,” we may want and need someone who is going to bring about an economic and political transformation, but we just don’t enjoy being screamed at. The Bernie Show is a great single performance spectacle, like the comedian Sam Kinison, but won’t make it as a long running series.

John Flenniken said...

Peter with this post you’ve squarely transformed from political tourist into political pundit. Your nuanced read of the leading candidates and matchups for VP is reasoned and near perfect. Whether the stage plays out the way you suggest makes us realize it is the end of the beginning of the Democratic Presidential selection process and the mid game is on with the remaining candidates standing.

Rick Millward said...

I agree Sen. Sanders would have a hard time in a general election. However, he deserves respect for standing up for the ever growing minority of Americans who are accepting certain realities about how this nation is governed, and are not ok with them.

The cool thing about this election is that three women are running credible campaigns. The enduring misogyny in our political system is ending. Women decide elections and they are done. Three out of ten is a good thing, but it should be six.

Andy Seles said...

Why would a true populist like Sanders have a hard time in an honest general election? Trump (who sold himself as a populist) didn't.
Why did seven to nine million (you read that right) who voted for pseudo-populist Obama vote for Trump? (Hint: Wall Street over Main Street & "Howz that hopey'changey thing workin' for ya?")
Why did the following democrats lose presidential elections and what do they have in common? Al Gore, John Kerry, Hillary Clinton. Why are 42% of voters Independents? (Some hints: DLC, DCCC, DNC, neoliberalism)

Who is 8 pts and 10 pts ahead of Biden and Warren, respectively, in New Hampshire as I write this? Who is only 3 pts. behind Biden and 10 pts ahead of Warren in Iowa and surging as I write this?

BTW, Art, old friend, I prefer "Berniecrat" to "Sandernista" as that term alludes to socialism in Nicaragua not democratic socialism. Why not just go for "Bolshevik Bernie...?"
(You can bet Trump is polishing that one.)

So-called "moderate"/"centrist" democrats abandoned the Party and its support of working families, decades ago. That betrayal and the simmering resentment it generated now calls for bold initiatives, not half measures, to wrest control from the oligarchs.

Lastly, if we accept that Sanders and Warren represent a similar "left" ideology, don't only their two combined percentages outnumber all the other candidates combined just within the democratic party?

Andy Seles