"These boots are made for walkin'
And that's just what they'll do"
Lee Hazlewood, "These Boots are Made for Walkin'", made popular by Nancy Sinatra, 1965
Sandford Borins is a college classmate. He is Canadian. Borins is Professor of Public Management Emeritus at the University of Toronto. In retirement he and his wife Beth Herst wrote Public Representations: Screen Stories, Narrative, and the Public Sphere,
While the U.S. and Canada accuse each other of making last-minute demands that led to the collapse of their recent trade negotiations, I want to step back to consider the Trump administration's actions in an historical context.
Canada evolved slowly from being a group of British colonies to nationhood. An act of the British Parliament, the British North America Act, united four eastern provinces (New Brunswick, Nova Scotia, Quebec, and Ontario) to establish Canada in 1867. Other British colonies joined later, most recently Newfoundland and Labrador in 1949. Initially, Canada didn’t have its own foreign policy and its highest court was in London. Canadian sovereignty developed gradually, and Canadians retain the distasteful memory of having been a colony.
Following the signing of NAFTA in 1994, the U.S., Canada, and Mexico became what then Prime Minister Jean Chretien called “the three amigos.” This was a period of free trade and increased economic integration, most notably in automobile production. Each partner respected the others’sovereignty. Canada participated wholeheartedly and suffered many casualties in the war in Afghanistan but took a pass on Iraq. Unlike the U.S., Canada and Mexico have always maintained warm diplomatic and economic relations with Cuba.
Been There, Done That
Canadians see the second Trump administration’s approach to its relationship with Canada as a desire to return Canada to the status of a colony and a negation of “the three amigos” era. President Trump’s juvenile “51st state” rhetoric and gaslighting and taunting of Canadian leaders poison the atmosphere but are not the essential problem. Our critical concern is the Trump administration's attempt to thwart Canada’s economic development and sovereignty, in effect to turn it into a vassal state. This is of a piece with other Trump administration initiatives to dominate the western hemisphere, such as the attempt to seize Greenland, the takeover of the Venezuelan Government, and the blockade of Cuba.
Why Canada Walked
There are several components of this imperialist approach, and they all appear to have come together in the recent negotiations. The Trump administration wants to weaken or destroy some Canadian industries, most notably automobile assembly, auto parts, and steel, all of which currently sell much of their output to the U.S., by implementing prohibitive tariffs. It hopes that dismantling Canadian manufacturing will increase manufacturing jobs in the U.S.
In resources such as oil, gas, potash, and critical minerals the Trump administration wants the U.S. to be the sole purchaser of Canadian output – the introductory economics term is “monopsony.” Hence the willingness of the Trump administration not to tariff Canadian energy producers, its desire to build the Keystone XL oil pipeline, and its demand that Canada not make agreements to sell these products to other countries. Clearly the Trump administration wants cheap, guaranteed supply.
These two approaches represent classic imperialism, in which the colony produces raw materials for the metropole and the metropole sells finished goods back to the colony. Late in the negotiations, the Trump administration introduced demands that Canada drop requirements that U.S. streaming platforms such as Netflix and Amazon Prime promote Canadian (including French-language) content to users in Canada and requirements for bilingual packaging of products sold in Canada. These demands represent an attack on Canadian cultural sovereignty and are particularly tone-deaf on the eve of an election in Quebec.
Defense is a third aspect of the would-be imperialist relationship. The U.S. wants substantial Canadian participation in its vision of North American defense and also wants to make sure that Canada buys American weaponry. Increasingly, Canada sees the Trump administration as an unreliable military partner. The flashpoint now is whether Canada will complete a major order of F35 fighter aircraft, which the Trump administration has been demanding. In his statement the morning after Canada walked away from the trade negotiations, Prime Minister Carney made it clear that the concessions the Trump administration was asking for amount to an unacceptable incursion on Canadian sovereignty, in effect an attempt to establish a new imperial relationship.
The Empire Strikes Back?
Carney has announced that Canada will put in place a program of support for Canadian producers who will be hurt by the additional U.S. tariffs that just went into effect and will also impose counter-tariffs on September 8, the day after Labor Day. In some instances, the counter-tariffs are a logical response to the U.S. tariffs. For example, both the U.S. and Canada produce steel. If U.S. tariffs make it impossible for Canadian steel producers to sell in the U.S., not imposing counter-tariffs would allow U.S. steel producers to continue to sell in Canada. The counter-tariffs level the playing field for Canadian steel producers selling in Canada. The slight delay in implementing counter-tariffs permits additional negotiation, if both sides are so inclined.
Trump’s typical response to opposition is social media taunts and escalating threats. The taunts have already started. The threats are likely to come soon.
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