Wednesday, April 29, 2026

The long view.

"This be the verse you grave for me:
Here he lies where he longed to be;
Home is the sailor, home from sea,
And the hunter home from the hill."
     Robert Louis Stevenson, Requiem, 1887  
This blog began with a premise embedded in the name I gave it, UpClose with Peter Sage. 

I wanted to make a virtue out of watching presidential candidates up close in their presentations. I wanted direct observation of events. I wanted to be in traffic, amid the hustle. We are living in interesting times, and I thought that by being right there in the front row, watching something and writing about it that day, I would understand it better. 


College classmate Ben Beach caught my attention by saying he had prepared a guest post that he thought was appropriate for this blog. He said it was on cemeteries. What? But I caught his purpose. He pulls me out of the noisy moment and into a mental space measured in lives and centuries. 

I visit cemeteries and the graves of family and friends. The Eagle Point National Cemetery, set aside for veterans and their spouses, is beautiful and immaculate. It is orderly and quiet. Shipshape. Weed-free. Everything in its place.



The rows of headstones are set up in perfect alignment, straight in every direction, the way my vineyard rows are set up, posts aligned in every direction, on the land my dad grew up on and farmed and eventually turned over to me. Some of Dad's ashes are scattered everywhere at the farm. The army sent him off to Boston, then into the Battle of the Bulge in Europe. He survived it and made it back home where he longed to be.





Ben had a long career writing for The Wilderness Society. He began doing distance running in college and then over the next five decades he set a record for the most consecutive finishes in the Boston Marathon: 54. It was broken last year.

Guest Post by Ben Beach
As a teenager, when I had all the answers to society’s problems, I concluded that cemeteries were a waste of valuable space. These sprawling spaces could be baseball fields, for example. Our country should not devote another acre to such use.

Today, 60 years later, I believe I was dead wrong.

When were you last in a cemetery? I’m not what you’d call a “regular,” but I walk, run, or bike through a graveyard about once a month. I love the peace and quiet, nature’s greenness, the early dates on many headstones, and the art of those markers and the statues.

And the stories I imagine that the people underground could tell. Inventors could tell us about their aha moments. Detectives could explain how they cracked their toughest cases. Not to mention all the endearing love stories.

As I stroll through a cemetery, I am grateful for what everyone there contributed to building the country that we’re lucky enough to call home. Doctors, construction workers, soldiers, teachers, cops, electricians, and more.

In the beautiful Bethel Cemetery in my new hometown, Alexandria, Virginia, there’s a 12-foot-high monument that reads: “Erected to the memory of the Confederate dead of Alexandria by their surviving comrades. They died in the consciousness of duty faithfully performed.”

I try to put myself in the boots of those soldiers, some of them teenagers, marching off to battle from that very spot in 1861. Did they believe in the cause? Did they expect to return home? Were they witnesses to the carnage at Gettysburg, Antietam, Chickamauga?

I don’t have close relatives whose gravesites I can visit easily. My parents are buried outside the church in New York State that we attended way back when, and it would be a 300-mile trip. I have a friend whose wife died of cancer, and most mornings in the months after her death he’d go to her gravesite with a cup of coffee and a chair and read her the day’s newspaper. Nice.

My interest in cemeteries may flow in part from my affinity for the death-related rock ‘n’ roll songs of my youth. One rather obscure one, “Laurie” by Dickie Lee, tells of a boy who met Laurie at a dance and walked her home afterwards. She said it was her birthday and then that she was cold, so he gave Laurie his sweater. As the boy headed home, he remembered the sweater and went back to retrieve it. A man answered the door and said, “You’re wrong, son; you weren’t with my daughter. How can you be so cruel to come to me this way? She died a year ago today.”

Dickie Lee tells us that “a strange force” drew him to the graveyard and, yes, you guessed it, there was his sweater lying on Laurie’s grave. His conclusion? “Strange things happen in this world.”

Dickie Lee also gave us “Patches.” Other greats are “Last Kiss” by J. Frank Wilson, “Ebony Eyes” by the Everly Brothers, “Billy and Sue” by B. J. Thomas, and “Tell Laura I Love Her” by Ray Peterson. If I’ve left off your favorite, please forgive me.

What would those buried beneath our feet think if they were to walk out of their graves? Some might ask if Martin Van Buren had been reelected. Or if cars were still electric, as they were in the early days.

At age 76, I know that my days are numbered. Much as I’m drawn to these peaceful plots, especially those small patches along rural roads (often on family farms), I’ve told my wife and children that I think I’d make great compost.



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog by email go to https://petersage.substack.com. Subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Believe nothing.

Fool me once; shame on you. 

Fool me twice; shame on me. 

Try fooling me for seven straight weeks, back to shame on you. I am onto you.

Who is more credible on the question of whether Iran will allow ships to pass the Strait of Hormuz, Iran, or Trump? 

Iran of course. 

Trump just makes things up and changes his story repeatedly. Trump isn't the least bit reliable.

An idea is floating around in the zeitgeist, and it is a symptom of the aura of distrust. The idea is that the shooting at the White House Correspondents Dinner was staged by Trump. So was the Butler, Pennsylvania, shooting. After all, the Butler shooting worked so well politically for Trump that the Hilton Hotel shooting was a useful sequel. 

I do not think that the Butler, Pennsylvania, shooting was a staged event. The test of "Who benefits?" is the wrong one, even if the incident raises suspicion among the conspiracy-minded. The test is whether a secret plan of this kind -- involving shots fired, blood appearing on Trump's cheek, an audience member killed, and the shooter killed at the site -- could all have been choreographed, and then kept secret, all done in real time, all without a dress rehearsal, and there not be evidence of the fraud. I think not. It's impossible, and therefore, no, it was not staged.

But notice my thinking: It isn't that authority figures at the FBI and Secret Service and local law enforcement said that the Butler incident took place as described in official accounts. I presume that they would happily lie to present a dishonest but convenient narrative if they could get away with it. It is just that the event was too complicated to do as a staged assassination. It happened as described, and Trump got lucky.

Tucker Carlson openly doubts whether the Butler event was staged, and he hosts people who "just ask questions."  Marjorie Taylor Greene is suspicious and she, too, is "just asking questions."


Trump has no credibility on any issue with political valence. Trump and his administration happily assert narratives with no relation to the truth, or even the ability to ascertain the truth. Before any investigation was possible Trump and then-Homeland Secretary Kristi Noem asserted that the ICE shootings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti stopped terrorist attacks. They have not backed off their story. This weekend Trump asserted that Jimmy Kimmel caused the Hilton Hotel attack. (This week's apparent shooter travelled to Washington, D.C., days before the Kimmel show.)  He asserts that ABC must take Kimmel off the air anyway.  Administration officials fall into place. Blame Kimmel. It isn't true, but it is a useful, convenient narrative. 

Conspiracy accusations sow doubt. They de-legitimize. It works politically. Trump asserted that Barack Obama was born in Kenya, not in Hawaii. Republican voters believe it. Trump asserts that he won the 2020 election in a landslide. Republicans believe it, or pretend to. Trump calls Black female politicians "low-IQ" regardless of their education or career successes. It plants a seed. It delegitimize them and gives permission for racists to feel aggrieved.

Trump opponents are doing trolling of their own. Iran has lego-figure propaganda video saying the Hilton Hotel shooting is fake. Social media chatter makes the same claim. This fifteen-second video pops up on TikTok:

Click to go to TikTok

Text:  "Does he really expect us to believe that Charlie Kirk was taken out by some sniper shit, but that every time its him it's some dude vying for the "worst fucking marksman ever" badge, literally the worst shot ever? I don't think so. It was all staged to get his ballroom."

Trump gave wings to the Hilton-shooting-is-fake meme by the way that he and media allies immediately made the shooting an excuse for a new ballroom. 

Left populism fears government and corporate elites. Drug companies are cheating us. Agricultural chemicals are poisoning us. Oil companies are killing the planet. The government is spying on us. Right populism fears the racial, religious, and ethnic other, plus government and corporate elites.

Nearly everybody thinks there is a certain amount of swamp out there.

Trump has a structural disadvantage on the issue of distrust of government. Trump is in power. In a world in which nobody can be trusted, certain facts emerge as set points of reality: Trump is awesomely, stupendously self-serving. Even MAGA Republicans see it. He cannot hide it because it is too big. What with crypto, real estate deals, private business deals with governments, gifts, strategic pardons, and using the power of government to protect himself, his family, and his friends, we see that Trump is neck-deep in the swamp. It is dark and mysterious, and it is worse than you know. It is very dirty.



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog by email go to https://petersage.substack.com. Subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]



Monday, April 27, 2026

Jesus is out of touch with voters.

     "In the same way that it’s important for the vice president of the United States to be careful when I talk about matters of public policy, I think it’s very, very important for the Pope to be careful when he talks about matters of theology."

     Vice President JD Vance

Vice President Vance didn't just tell the Pope to butt out. Vance said he was wrong.

Sermon on the Mount. Peacenik. Do-gooder. Wild-eyed idealist

The Matthew 25 message of Jesus' Sermon on the Mount is contrary to a human nature that survived in competition for survival and reproduction. 

     -- love your neighbor, love your enemy, turn the other cheek

     -- help the poor, the sick, the homeless, the refugee  

     -- don't store up treasures on Earth; instead give them to the poor

Jesus sounds like a Jesus-freak hippie. A communist, not a capitalist. And generous and unrealistic to a fault. 

The Pope has better credentials than Vance for understanding Jesus' message, but Vance better understands American voters. Polls show that Americans care most about their own financial well-being, the prices they pay and the economy that provides them income. A heads-up for Democrats who prioritize climate and race relations: Those come in at one percent. I get my own heads-up about the importance of the tariffs: They also come in at one percent. 

Of special interest to people who consider Jesus' message that what you do for the poorest of people, you are really doing for Jesus himself. Jesus is pretty much on his own.

Detail

Fox polls are best understood as describing what Trump-oriented Republicans think is true or want to be true. Election polling by Fox and Rasmussen regularly skew several points redder than other polls. But a March 31 Gallup poll is directionally consistent with the Fox poll. It showed that voters consider hunger and homelessness to be important, but, like Fox, rank them less important than the problems that affect voters personally. Climate ranks higher here, too, but behind economic issues, starting with healthcare inflation.


A Marquette University Law School poll released yesterday reports that voters are dissatisfied with Trump's handling of the war in Iran, thinking that the U.S. has not achieved its goals in Iran and that they want the fighting to end. This is more consistent with the message of the Pope. The Pope said that God didn't hear prayers of savagery of the kind Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth delivered. 


But as to the Sermon on the Mount message of welcoming outsiders, a majority of voters are telling pollsters they aren't buying the message of welcoming the sojourner or refugee. Matthew writes that Jesus said, "I was hungry and you gave me food, I was thirsty and you gave me drink, I was a stranger and you welcomed me."  

The Trump administration isn't welcoming outsiders except White South Africans. The administration is still carrying out a policy that anyone here illegally is appropriate to deport. There is a zero-tolerance policy, even in the widely-publicized cases of sympathetic people being deported, and even amid instances of ICE killing people on camera. Trump is still net-positive on the issues of border security. A majority of Americans want fewer immigrants here, and will deport them to achieve this goal.


There is a practical takeaway for Democratic messaging in this lead-up to the midterm elections. Jesus and the Pope have a popular message on the issue of war, but Trump and Vance are in better touch on issues that relate to compassion. This isn't a "Christian nation," not when it comes to helping the poor, be it SNAP benefits, foreign aid, health insurance benefits for others, or welcoming people seeking refuge. Those are "Sunday-morning" virtues, not real life. 



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog by email go to https://petersage.substack.com. Subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Sunday, April 26, 2026

Easy Sunday: Take the day off and laugh.

I feel entitled to laugh at the foolish incapacities of old folks.

I can take a joke.

I don't consider it ageist in a negative way, and I don't feel guilty about laughing at this Saturday Night Live bit. I see it as human, or humane even. I like it. It recognizes, in the exaggerated way that humor does, some characteristics of humans as we pass through phases of life.

I perceive it as essentially accepting and affirming the nature of the elderly. I don't think it is cruel or insulting any more than would be a comedy sketch or video that noted that toddlers stumble and fall. Yeah, we old people sometimes struggle with new technology, some of us don't hear well, some of us ramble in relating stories. That's life. That's real. It is OK to acknowledge it. 

I think that what is ageist -- and pointless -- is to deny some of the changes we go through.

Here it is on Youtube.


https://youtu.be/YvT_gqs5ETk?si=n8g5KlMM9spZjMCk



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog by email go to https://petersage.substack.com. Subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]



Saturday, April 25, 2026

Frost damage

Farming isn't for sissies.

The frost-control fans worked the way they were supposed to on the mornings of April 17 and 18. 

It wasn't good enough. 

The vineyard got to 29.3 degrees at dawn on both days.

I took this photo of my Pinot Noirs on April 20 and sent it to my brother and sister. I was showing off. See how beautiful the vineyard is? Our father would be happy to see the farm productive, the weeds under control, everything ship-shape. I was proud.

Looking good

In the photo the four-year-old vines are pruned up and in position for their first year for a marketable harvest. The vines look great. A barely-visible cane wire is 31 inches  off the ground. The vines are pruned back to bare wood in the winter, and are attached in a cross shape and tied with green plastic tape to that wire. About every four inches a shoot points up and those will have grapes that will grow over the summer and hang down from the wire.  

Farming brings problems. One of them is spring frosts. My electronic thermometer tracks the temperature every hour.


My vineyard is especially susceptible to frosts. Medford is at about 1,600 feet in elevation; my farm is at 1,200 feet. Cold air settles and creeps past my farm along the ground toward the Rogue River. The damage from the frost did not show on April 20, but it was evident yesterday in the photos below.

Malbec


Malbec


Pinot Noir


Pinot Noir

I have two acres of Cabernet Sauvignon, too. I neglected to take photos of them because Cabernets bud out about two weeks later than the Malbecs and Pinot Noirs, and I don't think there is any damage. Cabernets are the latest to bud, latest to ripen, and latest to harvest.

The frost will almost certainly reduce crop yields. Grapes put out second buds, so there will be grapes, but they are later and less productive than the first buds. 

The Malbecs last year had a huge crop -- too heavy -- and I needed to drop -- i.e., cut and leave on the ground -- about half the crop a month before scheduled harvest. It is possible that the frost just means a smaller, better harvest, and less work removing excess fruit. But probably not. In general, spring frosts are bad. 

The Pinot Noirs are more delicate than Malbecs. They are a few days behind the Malbecs, and so far seem to be less damaged. We will see. I may see more damage in the days ahead.

The fans came on about 3 a.m. those two nights and again last night. Each night they stayed on for five hours. So far this season I have spent about $4,000 on propane.

Morning fog at 7:03 a.m.

I read yesterday news of frosts into the low 20s from New York, down through Pennsylvania and into Virginia and Maryland.  News stories quote farmers using the word "catastrophic." In the low 20s, nothing works to minimize crop damage.



I don't wish problems for East Coast grape growers. I consider that to be mean-spirited and bad luck. I do recognize that crop problems elsewhere reduce the overall supply of wine grapes and therefore my chance of selling grapes at a good price. I am not in direct competition with East Coast grape growers; people who want my wine would probably be looking for branded wine from the Rogue Valley. But at some level wine is wine, and wine is shippable, and a shortage or oversupply in one place affects the overall market. 

So much is out of my control.

I will plant melons from seed about May 10. They will be in the ground and protected from frost for a few days, but once they emerge a frost is sudden death for a melon plant. No use trying to rush the season. 

I don't grow melons to sell. I grow them out of sentiment and inertia. They paid for my college education. It was the job listed in the Voters Pamphlet in my 1980 campaigns for county commissioner: melon grower. I have been growing melons for 60 years, so I will keep doing it. A perfect vine-ripe melon is at least as rare and hard to produce as is an excellent wine. Rarer, in fact. Melons are perishable. When everything is done right there is a moment -- one day, maybe two -- when it is perfect. Then the moment passes.




[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog by email go to https://petersage.substack.com. Subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Friday, April 24, 2026

Trump's Achilles heel

It's the corruption, stupid.

Iranian propaganda videos are onto something. 

Democrats should not count on a bad economy doing the political work for them. There is a better issue.

The economy might improve. Fuel prices might go down, the stock market might go up. It is unpatriotic and bad luck to hope the economy tanks and Trump gets the blame. 

Democrats learned that the "democracy" argument didn't work well. Issues involving Trump's flagrant abuse of U.S. law, international law, and the Constitution have less political effect than Democrats had hoped. Voters want stuff. Voters want government to work. They don't really care who imposes tariffs. They care whether the tariffs help or hurt. Remember yesterday's post: Congress has a 10 percent approval rating! Trust Congress? Get real. Congress looks like dysfunctional geriatrics hung up in a government shutdown. A president can act; Congress cannot.

Trump's popularity is the Achilles heel of American warfighting. We have overwhelming military strength, but we have minimal resilience. Higher gasoline prices and upticks in inflation make Trump unpopular, which diminishes his control of the GOP senators and members of Congress who protect him from impeachment and conviction. 

War is more likely to cause regime change in the U.S. than in Iran. Iran's government can take a licking and keep on ticking. Trump could lose the House and his legitimacy to fight a war.

Take three and a half minutes to watch the video. The YouTube video is better if you click on the little captions button marked CC at the bottom toward the right.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W7pOq-cjnOI

The focus of the message is that Donald Trump and his "fortunate sons" are corruptly using the office to get rich. 






The video makes the point of the corruption of the whole family, a timely message amid this week's news that Eric Trump announced on Fox Business that the family created a startup robotics business which immediately received a $24 million government contract. No apology. No embarrassment. No recognition that this looks like, and is, an extraordinary conflict of interest.

The video doesn't try to untangle or explain the big money for Trump family grift, the crypto business. Easier to understand is the Saudi sovereign funds bringing Jared Kushner two billion dollars. 

President Trump, Melania, and the Trump family have been aggressive in finding ways to extract money through this office. Iran is doing what Americans have been slow to do: identify it, condemn it as corrupt, and make it the center of the attack on Trump. There is plenty for Iran to work with: the $40 million payment to Melania for the rights to her story; the Omani luxury jet; the $10 billion lawsuit against his own government, which allows a "settlement" between himself and himself; the pardons for campaign donors, and the crypto scheme, the Trump library hotel. The hits keep on coming.

Will Republican voters tolerate it? They might. But Trump's wealth-seeking is very open, and there is no denying it. Republicans did not like Hunter Biden's Burisma nepotism. Trump and his family are not shy about making hay while the sun shines. 

Americans -- especially right-oriented populist voters -- are suspicious of politicians and good old boy corruption. Trump is risking his base.

Iran has a message: They are not on the ropes, and it is America that needs regime change.



I posted a short video on YouTube this morning on this subject: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/7VIdUqYrmLo



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog by email go to https://petersage.substack.com. Subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.] 

Thursday, April 23, 2026

I posted a video.

 I am trying out an idea: posting a short video from time to time.

Congress is so very unpopular that possibly, maybe, this is one of those windows when great changes happen.  Landslide elections, like the one in 1964, when Barry Goldwater buried the GOP and LBJ got huge Democratic majorities.  Or 1974, when voters rebelled against Nixon's Watergate and Democrats won again. Or in 2008 amid the Great Financial Crisis.

Trump is accident prone.  GOP Members of Congress are giving Trump the rope to hang himself. 

And Congress is even less popular than Trump.



Click:  It is one minute:  https://youtube.com/shorts/Re83rNYiVV4?si=kHpsyGG1EXzscbpi