"Make no small promises."
Donald Trump won the New Hampshire primary last night.
In his victory speech he told us the consequences of a Trump victory in November. America would be great. Now it is terrible -- the very worst.
Readers are waking up to news that Trump was less than gracious in victory last night. The consensus of commentary is that Trump appeared more irritated than joyful. He was flanked by Vivek Ramaswamy and Tim Scott, who had dropped out. They took the stand to praise him. Nikki Haley was not joining the coronation.
Trump is "otherizing" Haley. She isn't part of his team, or even America's team, he says. Trump has been hinting that maybe Haley was not a native-born American qualified to be president -- the birther gambit he used against Obama. She was an "anchor baby" and therefore part of a fraud. He began using her given first name, Nimarata. He took up calling her a "birdbrain" puppet of Democrats. Last night he hinted that he knew dark secrets that she would not want revealed:
“Just a little note to Nikki. She’s not going to win. But if she did, she would be under investigation by those people in 15 minutes, and I could tell you five reasons why already.
“Not big reasons, little stuff that she doesn’t want to talk about, that she will be under investigation within minutes, and so would Ron [DeSantis] have been, but he decided to get out.”
The bullying nativism may distract Democrats from seeing the power and effectiveness of Trump's salesmanship. Trump follows the core observation of my college classmate Tony Farrell, who has done guest posts here. Farrell had a long, successful career in marketing. He supervised the Trump Steaks account when he was at The Sharper Image. A lode star in marketing on TV infomercials is the command: Make No Small Promises.
Trump's victory speech in New Hampshire |
Rationally, a consumer should be wary of extreme, grandiose superlatives. We have all heard the caution to be wary of a promise that is too good to be true. We need that advice. Humans respond to forceful, decisive certitude. Trump seems genuinely to believe what he is saying, and his certitude is infectious. At minute 10:20 he says he got millions of votes but was cheated out of them in the 2020 election, and then at 11:10:
We're going to have the greatest election success. We're going to turn our country around. If you take a look around the history of our country. If you look at the ten worst presidents in the history of this not-great-country-right-now, it's a country in decline, it's a troubled country, it's a failing country, frankly -- but if you took the 10 worst presidents and put them together -- the 10 worst, the absolutely 10 worst -- I used to say five, remember I used to say five -- they would not have done the damage that Crooked Joe Biden has done to our wonderful country. They would not have done the damage. There's never been anything like it.
Say, are they stupid people? I don't think so, because nobody can cheat that well if they are stupid. Do they hate our country? They must hate our country because there is no other reason that they can be doing the things they do. Take a look. They want to raise our taxes times four. They want to let the Trump tax cuts, the biggest tax cuts in the history of our country, they want them to expire. Your taxes are going to go through the roof. Take a look at regulations, they are throwing regulations, you can't breathe, you can't even breathe with what they're doing. Take a look at our border. There's never been a border like this in the world. Four years ago we had the safest, best border in the United States. . . .
Superlatives. This style persuades some, not all. I cannot imagine a board of directors or hiring committee that would hire Trump for any position of leadership. Not a school district board hiring a principal or superintendent. Not a search committee for a city manager, hospital director, or college president. Any hiring body would see Trump as an unreliable blowhard and a danger to the institution.
But such a person succeeds in some roles. I reflect on super-salespeople in my former work as a financial advisor. A person like Trump might have an extraordinary -- but likely brief -- career. He would find clients, overpromise, take giant risks in concentrated positions, and then, as we would describe it in the brokerage industry, "blow up his book." Brokerage management is on the lookout for such people, both seeking them and hoping to control them, but wary. Super-salespeople are brilliant and profitable employees for a while, but they are too persuasive. Clients get talked into things they regret, clients lose money, they complain and sue, and they bring down the super-salesman advisor and the managers who were supposed to supervise him.
Under normal circumstances the 2020 election and aftermath would have been the career-ending finish for super-salesman Trump. But Fox and other conservative media did the equivalent of assuring investors that their account statements were wrong, that the stock prices they see were fake news. Don't believe what you see. Trump retained his base, and indeed consolidated it.
He talks in superlatives, and he persuades. He will make a sugary, low-nutrition breakfast cereal sound g-r-e-a-t. People know better, but they buy it anyway. It sounds SO great.
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16 comments:
I had hoped the polls were wrong and there would be more sane Republicans, but there aren’t.
Haley sounds relatively rational, but that doesn’t sell in MAGA land. They want anger, hatred and promises of retribution. With his contempt for democracy and the rule of law, Trump’s got what they like. The 2024 election seems destined to be a rerun of the old white male stateman vs. the old white male psychopath. It’s like déjà vu all over again.
Just ahead is a fork in the road, and if the Republic is to survive in Amy recognizable form , we had better take it.
Any, not Amy. Apologies.
What could be effective is understanding the legitimate grievances that drive voters towards Trump, because no other politician is responding to those grievances.
What will not be politically effective is calling those voters “insane“ or “ irrational“. Calling people names is no way to get their votes.
Thanks AGAIN for telling Democrats how stupid we are. Thank goodness we have The Sage One to tell us what we have seen and heard for ourselves since the Orange Menace decided to become a politician. You really do have certain certain characteristics in common with him. That is probably why you find him endlessly fascinating.
The notion that Trump’s chumps can be reasoned with by addressing their legitimate grievances is delusional. Their biggest grievances are the “stolen election” that never happened and all those “political prisoners” who attacked our Capitol. Trump is a traitor whose campaign is based on The Big Lie and promises of retribution. Those who find that appealing are as batshit crazy as he is. That isn’t name-calling; it’s just a fact.
Bonespur's cult follows his siren song akin to the Pied Piper. Let's wish them godspeed to the sea.
When you insist on dehumanizing Trump supporters as nothing more than delusional fanatics, it seems to me that the only strategy left to you is war. Is that what you want? Do you think you will win?
I continue to hope for a better way.
I think I see where Michael T is coming from, and we need to address the grievances. But Mike is right in that they cannot be reasoned with and have made up their minds. So the key is influencing those who can be influenced. And pointing out the insanity of Trump's followers could do that. Maybe Jon Stewart will end up being the one who saves our democracy.
You can’t “reason with“ Trump supporters by trying to talk them out of things they believe. First you have to establish trust by taking their concerns seriously and showing that you care about them as fellow citizens.
Responding to their concerns about uncontrolled immigration by accusing them of racism Is an act of rhetorical war, and not a serious response to something that is having an enormous negative effect on them. Telling them to “learn to code” when financial elites have exported their jobs to China or eliminated their jobs due to climate-related reasons is not a serious response to their concerns. Calling them crazy will just elicit the equivalent of a raised middle finger in response.
An effective political response to Trump supporters would have to include policies that make sense to them and look like serious responses to their valid concerns. Addressing their beefs would likely require slaying some of the far left’s sacred cows and overcoming the protests of certain progressive steakholders. An approach like this has so far been rare, but could work if it were well done.
Trump has made it clear that if elected, he intends to use the DOJ to get back at his opponents and those trying to hold him accountable for his crimes, and he also intends to use the military against protesters. He’s insane, or power-mad. Those who support him have no problem with that. They’re insane too, and those who make lame excuses for them aren’t much better. What we need to do make sure those who are rational and care about our republic are aware of the threat it’s facing and make sure they vote.
If Trump loses, of course he’ll claim it was due to fraud and try to incite another insurrection, but that will be on him and his clueless cult. And yes, I think the U.S. would win - again.
TFG's supporters have grievances by the boatload.
Are any legitimate? Ha!
Their grievances are based on lies, fantasies, being gullible and having zero personal accountability.
The economy is doing great, and I'm more optimistic about the Democrats chances in November than ever!
Seems like some of the commenters here continually play the same tune about Trump without recognizing the weaknesses of the Biden campaign and the DNC.
Visit https://decisiondeskhq.com/new-hampshire-presidential-primary-results/ to see some of the top level results.
Look elsewhere for the polls cross tabs that look at who is voting for Trump, by age, education level, party affiliation, income, and where they live.
The continued focus on Trump by the media is actually making Trump stronger in the eye of the voters.
Heck, Trump is actually getting votes from Democrats who switch parties so they could vote for him in the Primaries. He's also attracting independents.
I suggest that the commenters here should spend some of their time to read more widely, and perhaps learn some new tunes rather than replaying the same comments over and over.
There appear to be more never-Biden voters than never-Trump voters thus far.
“Ha!” is a response that lacks content.
It’s just the “basket of deplorables” theory of politics, reduced to a single syllable. It worked really well for Hillary, didn’t it?
"Seems like some of the commenters here continually play the same tune about Trump."
What more can you say? If Americans want a Reich, they'll get one.
Robert Reich? He isn’t even running…
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