Good news for Democrats:
Trump is running for re-election. Biden is not.
This is a prediction. I don't know what the future will bring--but I have an informed guess. Oregon's senior senator Ron Wyden firmly shook his head when I asked him last week if Biden would be running. Maybe he knows something, maybe not. More persuasive is that there are good reasons for Biden to decline to run again. He knows he is old and unpopular. COVID gave him an excuse to campaign from his basement in 2020. That excuse is gone. A campaign would force him to campaign in a way he physically cannot. He is already bowing out. Look at what Biden is not doing. Biden isn't jockeying to suppress potential rival Democrats.
In contrast, Trump will run because it is to his advantage to do so. Only by running can he preserve his relevance and reputation. Only by running can he keep a well-established small-dollar money machine going. Only by running can he avoid the humiliation of being defined as a loser--indeed a sore one. Only by running and winning can he use the pardon power to protect himself, his family, his fortune, and his supporters.
Look at his actions. Trump is attacking Republicans on his Truth version of Twitter with texts like this:
I get one or two emails every single day from the Trump team. They all ask for money. I received this from Save America, over Don Junior’s signature, on Saturday. It is typical material, praising Trump personally.
It’s no question that the American people believe President Trump was the greatest President of all time. Once again, this confirms what we already knew…
Despite the WITCH HUNTS from the the RADICAL Left or the LIES from the Fake News media, the American People remain LOYAL to President Trump 100%.
What was noteworthy about the email, though, was how it started, with this chart:
Trump is strutting his dominance over the GOP's potential successors. He is suppressing rivals, condemning Republicans who are disloyal to him, and trying to scare off the GOP competition.
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Over the last six years, we’ve learned how indifferent the vast majority of Republicans are to the Constitution, the rule of law, common decency and truth. I can see them nominating Trump again, assuming he isn’t in jail, because he’s exactly the kind of psychopath they so admire. Cheney? Not a chance.
Not if Trump is indicted and convicted.
It would be good news if Trump lost, but what if he won? It would be the end of democracy wouldn’t it? If he got elected again, I don’t think the country would remain intact. It would be good news if he ran and lost, showing ourselves at least to be a bit sane, but I REALLY hope he doesn’t run. God grant me the wisdom to accept the things I can’t change.
If The Former Guy runs, and is nominated, he may well be the best thing that happens towards destroying the current Republican Party. Give it a chance to burn to the ground and reestablish itself as the Loyal Opposition.
Anyone who thinks that it is a good idea for the twice impeached traitor to run for president or be re-elected is playing with fire.
He is profoundly pathological, destructive and dangerous. This is not a game or a reality TV show.
We all know that if Trump runs, he’ll claim he won regardless of the facts. However, the Supreme Court’s next session could make the outcome a moot point. They’ll be taking up a case (Moore v. Harper) in which Republicans basically argue that state legislatures can choose presidential electors any way they want, without any oversight. There’s no question whose side SCOTUS is on, so this could be the final nail in our democracy’s coffin.
Absent circumstances unforeseeable to expert observers of all backgrounds and loyalties, the party in power in both houses of Congress and also occupying the White House will within six months suffer one of the two or three biggest midterm electoral rebukes in American history.
I for one would ordinarily counsel political prognostication grounded in the here and now, or at least the soon.
Yet the wishful summaries of those whom Americans distrust in near-unprecedented numbers will still carry the day after November returns the House and Senate to the GOP. Yes, the conventional (read: mainstream media) wisdom is that GOP victories denote GOP mistakes.
Trust those who assured us inflation was a non-issue….then a free radical. Rely on Baldrick the Democrat’s latest Cunning Plan.
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