Saturday, February 19, 2022

Dems wise up. GOP get stupid.

    "Two roads diverged in a yellow wood." 

Democratic voters are moving their party toward the center. They have begun pruning the crazies. Smart.


Republican voters are embracing the crazies. They have begun pruning the center. Suicidal.


I risk irritating Democratic readers. I assume I have already irritated Republican readers by describing Donald Trump as a skillful and persuasive marketer, flawed by being a profoundly dishonest, narcissistic con-man. Today's post is about Democrats. Tomorrow I will address Republicans. 

Good news for Democrats


Voters just recalled three San Francisco School Board members. Democratic voters are pruning their party.

The San Francisco School Board, during a pandemic crisis of closed schools and haphazard remote learning, voted to change the names of the Abraham Lincoln, George Washington schools. Americans, even progressive Democrats, have little desire to shame Lincoln and Washington as racists.

The Board also voted to replace with a lottery the test-based entry system for magnet high schools. The schools are for academically motivated and gifted students. The test created an awkward racial/ethnic result. Too many Asians scored well; too few Blacks and Hispanics did. Magnet schools for the academically motivated and gifted are a pathway to success for middle-income people who cannot afford private school tuition. A lottery devalued a core value, that hard work and and merit should be rewarded. Ambitious parents considered themselves victims of arbitrary racial prejudice. 

Democratic voters are re-directing their party. The visible spokespeople for Democrats have been people who get elected in bright blue polities. They have dominated the Democratic message. The message emphasized racial victimhood. Democratic voters are saying no to those thought leaders.

There is an opportunity here. A Democrat running for president can re-center the discussion of race away from a presumption of a deeply flawed and racist America. In that America, racism remains central. We are victims because of race, ethnicity, religion, gender, sexual preference, or by being in the 99% cheated economically by the richest 1%. 

Heads up to Democrats: Most people don't want to wallow in misery. We prefer "hope and change." There is hope that we are making progress against a racist, homophobic, misogynistic past. Objectively, we are making progress. The glass is half full. That is what most Democrats believe. It is what they want to hear.

A national Democratic spokesperson can
 praise Washington and Lincoln. Surely, that one is easy. Democrats need not hide from patriotic symbols. The Democratic spokesperson can also say it is insulting and racist to presume that only a lottery will admit Black and Hispanic students. That is defeatist. It allows San Francisco to ignore substandard elementary and middle school preparation. A Democrat can argue a much happier thought, that talent and smarts exist everywhere. People have extraordinary potential, if given a chance. The solution is a liberal progressive one: early childhood education, access to health care for children, policing that creates safe neighborhoods.

"Equity" is a political trap. It rests on a foundation of persistent racial hierarchy, and close calculation of victimhood. It accentuates identity, not motivation and character. It has credibility within academic, non-profit, and professional circles that gain power from nurturing and measuring victimization. It imbeds the soft bigotry of low expectations. It is politically toxic. Black and Hispanic voters cannot help but see the condescension. Working class White voters feel the sting of prejudice. They don't consider themselves to be oppressors. Possibly in an authoritarian state people can be made to swallow "equity." Not in a democracy. We just saw proof of that in San Francisco of all places.

The Democrat need not retreat from a racial justice message. Democrats can change the message on how we achieve it. Presidential candidate Jessie Jackson's message three decades ago was that Blacks, Hispanic, and White working-people worked hard and played by the rules. "They take the early bus to work," he said. They aren't lazy and they they aren't looking for a handout. They respect work. They want an America where work is rewarded.

There is an opportunity here for Democrats. That message is a winner. Leaders can follow their voters.

Tomorrow: Republicans. The party is purging RINOs. They are being led off a cliff.


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8 comments:

Rick Millward said...

I'd caution against using an extreme example as being definitive.

The SFSB members by all accounts were so out of touch that they actually united both liberal and conservative voter/parents. Even so, in a more normal time their agenda would likely be tolerated, rather than being seen as tone deaf when COVID is the overwhelming problem.

The magnet school decision came from a court order on a technicality, after a lawsuit.

"The lawsuit (from the Friends of Lowell Foundation, Lowell Alumni Association, and Asian American Legal Foundation) accused the district and school board of violating the Brown Act, which requires certain public noticing and due process for resolutions making changes to school policy, and asked the court for an injunction to invalidate the resolution."

In my read of this issue, I don't see it as a groundswell of change, rather a complicated local issue in a very diverse and Progressive city.

Also...

"They don't consider themselves to be oppressors."

No, they are not...they are enablers.

Mike said...

Probably the biggest hurdle facing Democrats in the coming election is COVID fatigue and inflation, and they’re related. At this point, everyone who intends to get vaccinated has done so. Parents are more worried about the effects of their children not going to school than they are about exposure to the coronavirus. It seems we are past the point tolerance for restrictions, so we should resume normal activities and let the chips fall where they may. Those who want to wear masks and/or remain isolated can do so, but too many are already ignoring mandates for them to make any difference.

Michael Trigoboff said...

Good advice from Peter. It’s not clear that the Democrats will do what he suggests.

The progressives have a grip on the image of the party that they are not likely to be willing to let go of. Just look, for instance, at how they held up the passage of the infrastructure bill to the point where Democrats by and large did not get any credit for it when it finally passed.

John F said...

Attitude toward mostly Democratic Portland current crop of politicians is ugly.

- The police contract is a done deal sans body cam use and clear details on officer action internal reporting that might reflect negatively on the officer's reputation. (not the exact wording but you get the idea)
- Gun violence, street crime and vandalism is at historic levels.
- Proposals to address street camping (homelessness) in and around the city have gone nowhere for 3 years.
- City Charter review and recommendations remain stalled. Currently commissioner-stye of governance maintains Portland's siloed approach to pressing issues, preventing focus and direction.
- A shortage of affordable housing continues to push homebuyers to the suburbs where home values, taxes and fees are less.
- School enrollment forecasts for Portland Public Schools show a massive decline. Behind the data is covid policies, housing costs and equity issues remain policy - not quit San Francisco school board recall level but close.

A change candidate with chops to deal with these issues will probably win easily. Overlay covid policies, procedures and restrictions to the partial list above has Portlanders on edge and discouraged about their once thriving City of Roses. Portland has elected Republican government in the past and may be set to do it again. I doubt these candidates will pass muster if they chant the Trumpian themes though. I expect Oregon to become a toss up purple state if changes to the Democratic field of candidates can't get their act together. A look at Mr. Sage's vote analysis for Oregon shows a loss of 25 to 30 percent of Metro of votes for candidates with a "D" by their name would tip the State - Republican.

Low Dudgeon said...

Maybe two roads converged in a purple wood? Because that’s where, and by whom, the next election will be settled. Moderates, independents, and folks in toss-up districts and states. It could be and hopefully will be the smarter set of Democrats by 2024, but I suspect it’s too late for them to salvage 2022, especially with Trump not on the ballot.

The most popular and influential Democrat in America remains the frivolous pop-radical AOC. Inflation, the Southern border, failed COVID policy, Congressional gridlock, bloody deference to toxic BLM hate-mongers, and most of all the betrayal of our children via irresponsible, politicized public school pedagogy, will all stick in voters’ craws in November.

I suppose the wild card as ever is war. Surely no American from any political background countenances military conflict in Ukraine with less than dread after watching President Biden straining to read and then mumble—phonetically, at this point?—his lines from the teleprompter. The State of the Union spectacle may prove the fascination of the abomination.

Mc said...

More fiction from LD.

AOC is not the most popular Democrat any more than MTG is for the republicans.

The Biden Administration has handled the pandemic well. That is why restrictions are easing.

Biden has a speech impediment. I guess the republican platform includes mocking people's handicaps.


Stay classy.

Low Dudgeon said...

Mc—

I don’t think “fiction” means what you think it means.

1. Fair enough, you’re the Democrat. Which Democrat politician is more popular than AOC? Name more than one, if you think she’s not even second. That’s active politician, by the by, so not President Obama.

2. Biden has been a COVID observer since he took over. No policy changes from Trump, poorer performance by the very standards Biden himself named during the campaign—American deaths—and the pandemic has set its own course otherwise. The restrictions are lifting in various states in spite of the wishes of Biden and his CDC, not because of them.

3. Biden overcame his stutter as a youth, and that is not his problem now. He is fumbling for the correct words, regularly failing, losing his memory from minute to minute, and even having difficulty reading from a script. His old stutter is not why his can’t even remember e.g. what key country he’s talking about. Google his recent interview with Lester Holt.

If you’re truly interested in fact versus fiction, that is….

M2inFLA said...

RE: Biden

He is in his senior years, and is not quite the same person he was as Senator.

There is an extensive digital archive of his past comments on a number of issues of the day. He's even contradicted himself several times.

His performance today could be better, and we all should hope it is better for the sake of the country. Poorly reading speeches written for him is quite the contrast from his previous, off-the-cuff remarks.

And then there is Kamala, Donald, Barrack, and Hillary who have all spoken in various ways over the years. Some of those remarks are well spoken, while others deserve a do-over.