Monday, March 27, 2017

Coalition Government



A short observation while I travel and have limited access to the internet.

The Republican team is still intact.   Lots of issues will find Republican majorities but relatively few thing have both a Republican majority in the House plus 60 votes in the Senate.

There is a majority coalition in the House.  It requires re-figuring things and pulling together a progressive agenda with lots of Democratic votes and zero Freedom Caucus votes.  In fact that is what I predict in an infrastructure bill.  If Trump wanted to do it he could create Medicare For All Lite, some version of expanded health care that actually did what he promised but with one big exception.   It would be simpler and universal and better but it would be expensive.

What will it take for Trump to become a big government populist?  He would have to have an emotional crisis that makes him want to punish the Freedom Caucus members and he would need to see a pathway to Mt Rushmore.  He would need to be this century's Theodore Roosevelt, doing something great.

I believe he would rather be great than be conservative.

It could happen.   Maybe Bernie Sanders can pitch it to him.

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