Tuesday, November 17, 2015

Trump climbs in polls after Paris comments

News Headline today: Trump sees bump in polls post-Paris


There is a real difference between a Trump speech and the speech of the traditional candidates saying rather Trump-like things, i.e. Cruz and Rubio.   Both Cruz and Rubio are using the Paris murders to characterize the war as one against Muslims, not jihad.   Rubio referred to the Clash of Civilizations and Cruz said that we should triage refugees by letting Christians in and keep Muslims out.   They talk differently.

Trump is a plain talker.   Unlike Rubio and Cruz (and Florin and Christie as well) Trump speaks slowly and in punchy sentences that seem more or less formed in his mouth that moment.   He is highly practiced, but he is extemporaneous.   Rubio and Fiorina have fully practiced sentences and paragraphs and they come at the audience very quickly.  It gives an impression of great certainty and competence.   But it doesn't seem anywhere near as genuine.

Trump comes across as guileless.  He says what Archie Bunker would have said.  The audiences I saw liked it.   

It is possible that it will turn out that Trump and Carson will be like the football guard or fullback who galumphs through the line making way for the more nimble and delicate halfback Rubio or Cruz, but this assumes that people actually want someone more polished and smooth and eloquent.   And maybe they don't.  Trump really is offering something unique: plain talk.
Reno:  They stood in line and waited standing up for 3 1/2 hours total to see Trump
Reno:  Yes, I was one of those who stood for 3 1/2 hours, too, and  so I got within 50 feet  of Trump.
New Hampshire:  sold out over subscribed event, the largest in the history of "Politics and Eggs"

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