Thursday, August 13, 2026

Advice to a Republican awash in campaign contributions

What to do when wealthy, powerful Republicans give you a million dollars to use in a state Senate campaign? 

Give it away.

Really. Give it away.

Too much money is a good problem to have -- if one has the sense to realize it is a problem. 

From the Hicks campaign website

Republican candidates for the Oregon 3rd Senate district representing Medford and Ashland Oregon receive a million-plus dollars every cycle from upstate Republican senators' PACS, from Republican-oriented corporate PACs, and from wealthy Republican donors. This year's beneficiary is Brad Hicks, the former CEO of the local Chamber of Commerce. Contributions are pouring in. [Click, then enter Committee ID 24485, then Transaction Type: contribution.]

Spending it overwhelms voters in this small media market. Cycle after cycle, the spending produces the message that the candidate is a solid, loyal, agent of the great Republican hegemon of business elites with all the money in the world to browbeat voters. It is a losing message.

My advice for the Hicks campaign is for him to accept maybe $200,000 in donations and give the rest back, however much it is. The more that comes in, the better, as long as he gives it away to charities. 

First thing is to return the $5,000 he got from the PAC of Altria, the Marlboro cigarette people. What was he thinking taking that donation? He doesn't need the money and he has to know that Democrats will showcase that donation. And give back the money that arrived in $10,000 hunks from Republican state senators welcoming you to their team. It communicates that they want a grateful and indebted senator, not an independent one; a bad message. Give back the money from the bank, pharmaceutical, and real estate PACs. Hicks problem is that he already looks way too tight with business elites, and this just confirms it. Most of all, give back the $249,000 from Nike founder Phil Knight's PAC aimed at creating a state legislature to his liking. I like Nike shoes, and I am grateful for "Uncle Phil's" $2 billion donation to Oregon Health Sciences University, but I don't want him buying himself a legislature. It looks wrong and out of scale. I liken it to the Qatari jet gift to Trump.

Pick two or three local charities to receive the PAC money. Use the portion of the money from rank and file local Republicans to fund a sensibly-scaled campaign, and include some ads to say what you did. Don't overdo the self-praise, or it will wreck the message. The goal is to look public spirited, not braggy.

The Hicks campaign received large donations from people associated with what is now an international auto dealer, Lithia Auto Group. I have good feelings about those people, even if they mostly give to Republicans. They are prosperous, public spirited, and local -- a good combination. My recommendation is to give the money back to them and ask them to make a tax-deductible contribution to Southern Oregon University with it. This is a natural for them. They already donate large amounts to SOU and it turns an after-tax political donation into a tax-deductible charitable one. Let them publicize the switch and why they did it.

I suspect that Lithia's leadership would be the best route to getting buy-in from the big upstate PACs that have invested so heavily in this race. Lithia's leaders are market-savvy, and Republican strategists have proven they are not. Auto dealers know that no amount of advertising will convince a working man who needs a pickup truck to haul his tools that he should buy a small sedan insead. No amount of money will persuade a blue constituency energized by fear of Trump and MAGA enablers to elect a Republican foot-soldier dressed in a Trump uniform of red, white, and blue. The upstate GOP establishment that created the river of cash will need some persuading. God knows they won't listen to me. They might listen to someone from the DeBoer family.

I am offering practical advice. It won't irritate voters with tiresome ads. It makes a point people agree with, that big money is ruining our politics. It communicates a message of public service, not partisanship. By redirecting their money Hicks would make a visible gesture that maybe, just maybe, he has a tiny bit of independence from the MAGA establishment and business elites sending him money. And people will talk about the campaign with surprise, not loathing. 

The problem with this advice is that it doesn't work to fake it, to go part way to just give away a pittance and then brag about it. That backfires worse than doing nothing because it is both hypocritical and partisan, and the avalanche of campaign ads gives away the game. This works only if he is all in. Be bold. Radical generosity is what reframes the campaign, if he dares to do it.

I realize I sound as crazy as Jesus: Give away money to the poor, put down weapons. This sounds like pie in the sky idealism, not real life. Only a very gullible Republican candidate would take such unrealistic campaign advice. I get that.

I expect the Hicks campaign to proceed the tried-and-true way. As Napoleon allegedly said, "God is on the side of the big divisions." Hicks has the big divisions, and the momentum of every campaign is to use the money if it has it. History shows it backfires, but maybe, if the campaign spends enough money, that fellow will buy the sedan he knows he doesn't want.



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2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Jeff Golden spent $350K when he beat Jessica Gomez, when Gomez spent $1.3 million, and Golden spent $350K when he beat Randy Sparacino, when Sparacino spent $1.1 million. So, money isn't everything in a political race. A message is. Neither Gomez or Sparacino had a message, and neither does Brad Hicks. Neither Gomez or Sparacino or Hicks will tell you what they stand for. It's amazing. All they'll do is run 10 of the same commercials every day, with their political cronies doing testimonials telling you what a great guy/gal the GOP candidate is. You don't know what you're getting with Brad Hicks because he won't tell you. All he'll tell you is what a great guy he is based on his cronies' testimonials. Based upon Brad Hicks' history, he doesn't give a shit about the voters, and he is running to support the Chamber of Commerce good old boys, and bring home government spending for their huge construction projects. Brad Hicks has a history of supporting every government tax increase, so expect huge tax increases from Hicks. Brad Hicks is really a liberal Democrat in Republican clothing, and he's only registered as a Republican because that's what the Chamber members do. Denise Krause supports the little guy. Brad Hicks is a puppet of Lithia Motors and the crooked DeBoers. (Medford recently raised their hotel tax 2% to subsidize the DeBoers).

Anonymous said...

Brad is running to prevent another 2 years of one party rule. That is why Phil Knight supports him