This is not a post about tonight's GOP debate.
Seven of them aren't heroes.
I am posting about the values and ethics in two movies from the Cold War era.
Gary Cooper in High Noon |
The old "Westerns" of the 1950s and 1960s were moral dramas that retold the central geo-political dramas of the previous decades. On the surface the shows were about sheriffs and outlaws, with the resolution settled by gunfights. They were metaphors. The shows were re-enactments of the decision to confront aggression in WWII and the ongoing Cold War with the USSR.
Chris: "We took a contract."
Vin: "It's not the kind any court would enforce."
Chris: "That's just the kind you've got to keep."
The seven eventually stay to fight.
Both of these movies are about moral courage, physical courage, and the pairing of virtue and the law. In each the heroes defended order even when there was an arguable pretense or loophole to evade confrontation. It would be expedient. It is what a "winner," a "smart person," would do.
In tonight's debate most of the aspirants to replace Trump as GOP party leader will make excuses for him. They will divert and distract and blame the sheriff for making trouble, just like in these movies. The candidates will pretend Trump's actions to stay in office have an arguable basis for not being provably criminal. He proudly did wrong things, sure, but he believed his "crackpot lawyers." He made mistakes, but they aren't necessarily criminal beyond a reasonable doubt, so the supposed hero with the badge is the actual troublemaker. Blame him.
Chris Christie and Asa Hutchison aside, the GOP debate tonight is a group of citizens -- the Mexican villagers and Kansas townspeople -- who are unworthy of peace and order. In the movies they willfully accept the lawless gang of thieves or the murderer arriving on the noon train. The GOP candidates are not blind to who Trump is and what he has done. Possibly they feel bad about their hypocrisy -- the villagers and townspeople do -- but they are being expedient. Two characters briefly try out excuses in the scene above in The Magnificent Seven: "Sometimes you bend with the wind or you break" and "there comes a time to turn mother's picture to the wall and get out." Six of the candidates tonight are taking that path.
Both movies celebrate the heroes who uphold law and order. They are the good guys. The movies of that era celebrated virtue, not irony. Not expediency. But both movies end with the same note, the one that I expect to be the conclusion tonight. Yul Brenner and Steve McQueen ride off with the recognition that they did the right thing, but lost. The winners are the farmers who benefited from their courage, but return to their lives. The Gary Cooper character throws his gun and badge on the table and leaves for the train out of town. He has the consolation of leaving with a wife played by Grace Kelley, 30-years his junior, but the townspeople don't beg him to stay. Nor did the Mexican villagers. Heroes are an embarrassment to the townspeople. They shame them by their presence.
Liz Cheney shames Republicans. It is too late for Chris Christie and Asa Hutchison, but now they also shame them. Pence wants it both ways, so his reward is boos and 2% in the polls.
They don't make movies like The Magnificent Seven and High Noon anymore. Tastes have changed. The best characters now are anti-heroes. The smart money sticks with the townspeople. Don't offend the GOP primary base.
We get the democracy we deserve.
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15 comments:
Both those movies are definitely classics.
Ultimately, the debates tonight don’t matter because we already know who the far-white party will nominate. Trump is a giant orange middle finger aimed at democracy and the rule of law. He’ll be the Republican nominee because he best represents their values.
I wonder how many people will watch the debates. Not democrats, not Trump followers, so that leaves who will watch? The die is set as far as who will be the Republican nominee isn’t it?
I’m guessing few who read this blog will watch. Peter, you can do it for me, but I don’t really care if you don’t.
Trump will not attend, choosing to hold a counter event which is predicted to cut the audience for the debate in half. The vast majority will watch neither, including myself.
This seems to me to demonstrate a fractured party, Trump on one side, defending his turf, all the others on another in a scrum to determine who will eventually challenge him in Iowa next January, where Trump currently holds a comfortable lead.
All in all, talk of morality on the same page as Republicans seems a bit quaint. The philosophical battles fought onscreen these days are brought to us from Marvel and Disney.
Six of eight are "taking that path", that is. Yul Brynner had Steve McQueen, and Chris Christie has Asa Hutchinson.
OK, Low Dudgeon, I suppose you are right. I corrected my text to make it six of eight. Asa Hutchison is very soft spoken about it, but perhaps that is his overall manner. Not tentativeness.
That's the way things are now. But, remember that the Election is over a year from now. That's a lifetime in politics. A lot can happen between now and then. He has to go though 4 major trials. He probably will be found guilty. What will be consequences be? You know he will appeal them and that takes time. How will he act in the meantime? Will he defy court orders to keep his mouth shut? If he doesn't, does he really face jail time? It's going to be a strain on the Court system on what to do. The Supreme Court will surely get involved because it has to. How far above the law can he take it? Lots of questions and our Democracy might be at stake. 2024 might be the most consequential year in decades. Peter will have plenty to write about. And us,too.
Oh right, blame the crockpot lawyers, that will work. Go Sheriff Christie!
After attending both Town Halls presented by the congressman for our District here in Medford, and Grants Pass, then reading your post this morning, I can't figure out which character Bentz most resembles; but I am quite sure it's not Yul Brynner, Steve McQeen or Gary Cooper. In Medford, he touted his friendship with Gymshorts Jordan and other members if the Seditionist Caucus, while claiming he doesn't support their Nihilistic agenda. In Grants Pass, he wouldn't say it in so many words, but he asserted Trump should not be prosecuted, because it might upset people, and cause more divisiveness. We, the people of ORD 2 are being poorly served.
And then there are actuarial factors to think about. What are the odds that Biden and Trump will both live to make it to the 2024 election? I asked Claude.ai:
I do not have access to detailed actuarial data to calculate precise odds for that scenario. However, some general considerations regarding Biden's and Trump's 2024 election prospects:
Joe Biden would be 81 years old on election day 2024. Actuarial data shows average US male life expectancy is about 78 years. However, Biden seems to be in reasonably good health for his age.
Donald Trump would be 78 on election day 2024. He also appears to be in decent health, though his diet and weight may raise risks of certain conditions.
Both Biden and Trump have access to excellent medical care, which improves their odds of longevity versus the general population.
There's no way to predict with certainty whether either will experience health issues in the next 1-2 years that could impact their election viability. But purely from an actuarial perspective, the odds are reasonably good for both still being alive for the 2024 election.
Of course, being alive doesn't guarantee either would choose to run in 2024. Their own political calculations could lead them to not pursue the presidency again for other reasons.
So in summary, while actuarial odds are slightly against typical 78-81 year old men still being alive, Biden's and Trump's access to quality healthcare probably makes their survival to 2024 better than 50/50. But many other factors would determine their actual election candidacy if still living.
Gary Cooper threw his badge on the ground and wore his gun as he drove off.
Great movies, both.
The Republicans who will be remembered in the same vein as those movie heroes will be Liz Cheney and Adam Kinzinger.
A recent poll of Republicans voters had 61 % saying they would vote for Trump even if he is in prison. Hmm.
Right, trump; blame your own lawyers. Sorry, but in that case, the “SODDI defense” ain’t gonna work. You lose, sukkah!
The entire GOPee is a middle finger to this country and its people.
CNN has an analysis of which federal agencies the GOPee candidates have said they want to abolish.
The GOPee has no solutions, only destruction.
I won't be watching tonight's clownfest.
If I recall my research, High Noon was more about McCarthyism than anything.
I believe the writer was blacklisted.
Note: Reagan was involved in perpetuating the blacklisting. His eventual wife went out with him to stay off the list.
Somewhere around half of Americans do not have cable or satellite TV.
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