Saturday, June 22, 2019

Walkout: Oregon State Senate

Jeff Golden

Climate Change is a partisan issue.


A strong majority of Democrats think climate change is real, urgent, and that we should do something about it. 

So Oregon Democratic legislators acted accordingly.

Most Republicans disagree. They doubt it's a problem and most don't support actions that would cost money or inconvenience citizens. 

So Oregon Republican legislators acted accordingly.

Logjam. Walkout.


The Oregon state senate made national news. For the second time this year, GOP senators left the state, thus denying the state senate a quorum, thereby blocking passage by the majority of senators of a bill to create a carbon tax, trade, and rebate program. 

Here is an explanation of the bill: Click Here

We are seeing representative democracy at work. Among Democrats, 78% think climate change is "very" important and 84% think the government needs to do something. Among Republicans, only 25% think it is important and only 32% think the government should do something.  Click: ABC poll

The problem is exacerbated by the fact that Democratic-Republican partisanship is aligned with urban-rural geography, and people in urban areas drive fewer miles than do rural residents, and therefore Republican legislators calculate that the burden of the bill falls more directly on rural--i.e. Republican--voters.  Democrats are elected almost entirely from urban districts. This re-ignites the age old resentment of policies pushed onto rural Oregonians by the Portland population juggernaut.

(If the plan to reduce fossil fuel use were a tax on cars idling while stuck in traffic at intersections, then the burden would switch to a different set of voters. Portland legislators might feel differently.)

Jeff Golden is a Democratic State Senator, representing an unusual district for a Democrat, a mixed one that includes forested areas, plus the college town of Ashland. He supports the bill. He also recognizes that his district includes lots of people who, especially in decades past, worked in the lumber industry, a well organized interest group opposing the bill. 

Click: Amazon
He sent a newsletter, expressing his views on the walkout, a newsletter noteworthy for its expression of empathy to people in that industry. He is voting agaienst what they perceive to be their interest, but he appears determined to show that neither he--nor environmental politics generally--are the real villain. "The timber companies who made billions off of Northwest forests could have done much more," he says, but they did not.  

We have an up close look at the Oregon version of the struggle we see in the Midwest "rustbelt" and in Appalachian coal country, the disappearance of one kind of traditional job, with industry--and Trump--
blaming it on environmentalists and out of touch urban liberals, and Democrats objecting to that explanation.

Golden is familiar with this industry/environmental conflict. He wrote a novel about it twenty years ago. The issue persists.



Here is how Jeff Golden is handling this difficult communication issue, verbatim from his newsletter:


"I write this at my desk on the Senate floor, surrounded by all of my 17 Democratic colleagues and none of my 11 Republican colleagues. We’ve been here for five hours nowchit-chatting, filling each other in on the bills we’re still working on, catching up on constituent e-mail, talking or Face-timing with local media outlets. What we’re not doing is the public’s business we were sent here to do. 
That’s because the Republican Senators, if this afternoon’s reports from CNN are right, are in Missoula, Montana. They apparently flew there early this morning in order to leave the jurisdiction of the Oregon State Police. A couple hours later, at the Senate President’s request, Governor Kate Brown ordered OSP to do everything possible to bring these folks back to the Capitol. 
For the second time this session, the Republicans have walked. The 
purpose is to deny the Senate a quorum; the state Constitution allows us 
to do business only when 2/3 of us, 20 out of 30, are present. In May they 
left for four days to keep us from passing the Student Success Act, which included a $1 billion/year Corporate Activities Tax. They came back after a closed-door deal (and the Student Success package has since been passed and signed into law) that killed a couple of unrelated bills they didn’t like. At the time more than a few of us wondered what the Republicans would take away from that experience. “I have a three-year-old,” one of my colleagues said then. “And the last thing in the world I’d do if he pitched a tantrum is give him a piece of candy.” Today it’s especially easy to see what she meant. 
Part of that regrettable deal was the Republican’s promise that they wouldn’t walk out again for the rest of the session…wouldn’t do, that is, exactly what they did todayThis time the triggering issue is HB 2020, the big climate bill that’s grabbed so much energy and attention all session.  This bill is so grotesquely horrible, they keep sayingthey had no choice but to flee Salem. “Senate Republicans,” Senator Tim Knopp (R-Bend) wrote today from his out-of-state perch, “have chosen to use the last option available to protect our constituents by denying the Senate a quorum to pass HB 2020. This follows on the heels of a big rally in the Capitol this week of loggers and log-truck drivers; one had the logs he was hauling spray-painted with the message "No more. This is my life. 
This tone of desperation has been a steady thread of the HB 2020 debate for months. Some of it has been manufactured. Sen. Herman Baertschiger (R-Grants Pass), passing the time somewhere in Montana as I write, is the 
leader of Senate Republicans. This afternoon's TV news quotes him saying that HB 2020 will devastate anybody in the natural resource industry. “They’re afraid,” he said of rural Southern Oregonians. “They’re afraid that their livelihood is gonna go away. 
Yes, many of them are afraid. I’ve received my share of mail from people fearing that HB 2020 will trash their way of lifeLast March, when we held a public hearing on the bill at Central High in Medford, something like 60 people spoke for the bill and some 50 against it; of the second group, about 25 said the program would “crush”—always that same word—the economy and their lives. 
Why Are People This Scared?  
I think there are three reasons. One is that people who’ve made their living with their hands, in the forests, on farms, on fishing boats or in mines, in factories and shops, have found themselves on the short end of a very short stick for years now. They used to be valued workers; now they’re replaceable production inputs in a world very different from the promising one they grew up in. Hundreds of professions across the country that used to promise a decently secure future and retirement just don’t anymore. The truth is that most blue-collar workers everywhere are scared for good reasons. 
The second reason is a case study of the first. Thirty years ago workers in our valley took a huge and sudden hit when the rules of federal forest management changed almost overnight. Whatever you think and whoever you want to blame for those hard times, thousands of Southern Oregonians were knocked out of middle-class security into economically rugged lives. It’s not hard to scare people who’ve gone through that kind of change. 
The third reason is simple. A lot of people are scared out of their wits about this bill because high-profile voices are working hard to scare them out of 
their wits. Take the claim that HB 2020 “will devastate anybody in the natural resource industry.” Seriously?  If you’ve followed this debate since January, you can’t possibly count the number of times you’ve heard how this Cap and Trade program will devastate, destroy, decimate, ruin, demolish ocrushOregon and Oregonians or both. 
I want to say this clearly. The politicians preaching fire-and-brimstone about HB 2020 either haven’t read the billdon’t understand its provisions, haven’t bothered to look at the economy-boosting impacts of carbon pricing wherever it’s been tried**, or are cynically exploiting the natural anxiety about change to for political purposes. With the worried hopes of so many working people on the line, that’s a deeply cruel thing to doAnd it’s cruel to imply to the people they say they’re fighting for that things will be fine if we don’t act boldly on climate. The evidence, up to and including last summer’s hellacious fires and unbearable smoke, loudly says that’s not true.  
I’m angry about thatMixed with that feeling is real sadness about that logtruck driver—“This is my life”—thscared comments (some tinged with rage, some not)  I’ve read on email and heard in public hearingsWhenever there’s a major social/economic shift—again, the Timber Wars come to mind—the ones who profited the most from the existing order seem to be held harmless while their workers take the biggest hits. That’s not the way it has to be. The timber corporations who made billions off Northwest forests could have done much more during the transition to help the workers that labored to create their wealth. The immensely lucrative fossil-fuel industry, which year after year raked in the largest profits ever recorded by any industry, could be helping workers through the transition now.   
But that’s not how things work. Pick a major economic transition from any historical moment and you’ll find the heaviest load landing on the shouldersthe least privileged, however hard they may have worked creating wealth for others We’re trying to do it differently with HB 2020. 
The intensity of today’s fight is fueled by forces even bigger than this big issue.  One of them is the emotional clash of cultures I described earlier in the battle over coyote-killing contestsIt lays bare the core belief of many working people, so evident in the last presidential election, that they’ve been dismissed and ignored 
That has fostered another major force: a challenge to government’s basic legitimacy that would have been hard to imagine ten or even five years ago. We saw it in the 2016 armed occupation of the Malheur Wildlife Refuge. Some say it’s playing out on the national level as the Executive Branch refuses to comply with lawful subpoenas and other orders from the Legislative Branch. And we’re seeing it right now as I sit amidst of cluster of Democratic Senators, without a Republican in sight, wanting to finish our constitutionally-required work. When Republicans essentially say “never mind that policies like HB 2020 resulted from which legislators the voters chose; the only way we have to protect Oregonians is to shut down the Legislature,” they are starkly challenging the legitimacy of government. I think the Mail Tribune editorial got it right." 


13 comments:

Rick Millward said...

However it plays out, the walkout is a desperation move by Republicans.

With the federal government in chaos it is left to the states to try to make some progress on addressing the effects of climate change, and it is here we see the result of the takeover of the Republican party by vested interests, religious fanatics and science deniers. Rep. Golden's statement is overly kind and I admire his ability to empathize with those displaced by global forces, but they are obstructing efforts to combat something that will ultimately effect everyone, some for short term gains, some out of ignorance.

The measure of a society's maturity is its ability to look ahead and prepare for the future, and in this case it may well be about whether human civilization survives. Even if this and other measures are adopted, it won't be enough, that's the really scary part.

Anonymous said...

Mister Partisan Peter Sage again glosses-over the real issue. Democrats want to add a huge tax to petroleum products in order to fight "climate change", which is really a fraud issue. The climate already changes naturally. Man isn't causing it. Your tax isn't going to stop it. The democrats would tax you for breathing if they could. Anything for an excuse to raise taxes, so that they can be used for more social programs. The ultimate goal is socialism.

This increase in energy tax will not only make your travel more expensive. It will make everything you purchase, such as food, clothing, household goods, and housing more expensive, since shipping and production costs for those products will increase. Your entire life will become more expensive, even if you don't drive. It will deeply damage anyone who is not wealthy like Peter Sage is.

Jeff Golden is the Rogue Valley's very own version of Bernie Sanders. He's long on ideas, but short on reality. Just like Sanders, Golden has spent little time in the private sector, and he's a disciple of big government. Jeff Golden and most every other democrat in Salem is a threat to your current way of life. They want to destroy it.

MANY time in the past, democrats have used the same tactics that republicans are using today, and they've walked-out from the legislature. Even Kate Brown has done it, but the media refuses to tell you that Kate Brown is a hypocrite who criticizes actions she herself has done in the past. Kate Brown is a loser.

The democratic legislature is a disaster waiting to happen. They are going to destroy Oregon. Don't laugh. It can happen. High-tax states like New York and California are already hemorrhaging.

I wrote an email to Senator Jeff Golden last week asking him to not support HB2020. I never heard back from him. He doesn't represent everyone. Only the leftist-extremists. And now the Rogue Valley will pay for mistakenly voting for Golden. Someday you might learn from your mistakes.

Thad Guyer said...

Morally pleasing solutions are not possible between people whose livelihoods are directly based on carbon and those whose livelihoods are not. That human caused climate change is real does not mean proposed solutions are realistic. Unilateral solutions implemented by the carbon giant USA can have a marginal but measurable impact. Unilateral measures by the carbon midget Oregon cannot. Quorum negation is admirable civil disobedience to prevent Democrats from financing their moral egotism with other peoples money.

Malcolm said...

Thad Guyer, Im just curious. Are you including the timber industry in the “livelihoods based on carbon”? If so, in what way? The Diesel engines running their equipment and gas and oil for their chain saws?

Rick Millward said...

I use a pencil sometimes...does that count?

Anonymous said...

Jeff Golden is extremely dishonest, and apparently not too bright, when he implies that the cap and trade issue is about timber cutting in the forests. That industry was destroyed by the democrats and environmentalists years ago. This issue is about anyone who uses or benefits from fossil fuel products, and how it will negatively impact their lives. HB 2020 is an economic disaster, which will kill jobs throughout the economy, and make every purchase you make more expensive. It's sad that Jeff Golden would lie about who this bill would impact. But then, democrats are used to lying in order to push their agenda. Jeff Golden is dangerous.

Thad Guyer said...

To my dear friend Unknown.

UK, (is that nickname ok?), I especially include the timber industry and its workers among those who are very justified in resisting Oregon democrats' feel good but symbolic solutions to climate change. The timber industry has a large carbon footprint ("cap" element) and a low profit margin with middle class wages ("trade" element)in the cap and trade "solution". The late Eugene Piazza and I were part of a national lawyer team suing the timber industry in the 1990s and learned a lot about its operations which include (1) massive fuel and electric consumption in harvest, processing and shipping; (2) CO2 spikes from wide-scale clear cutting, not of old growth but of the planted forests which are managed like crops, and(3) downstream wood product and paper processing (including plywood particle board and flooring). Oregon could shut down that whole industry, indeed go completely dark on industrial and consumer energy consumption and have no measurable effect on climate change. Oregon could ban 100% of gun sales in the state and not save a single life. Carbon emissions and guns are ubiquitous and beyond supply side (or cap and trade) solutions unless implemented nationally (if not globally). Democratic progressives, however, are politically inclined to moral elitism in the body politic strategically inflicting damage on economic and trade sectors that aren't within our voting and contribution constituencies. We love Nike and Apple in Oregon, but pretend they are green because their carbon foot prints are unleashed on Chinese children who live near the factories. Thus, we opt to target industries and sectors over whom we have legal jurisdiction rather than consumers, where fuel taxes on scale with the EU, banning outright consumer single use plastics, banning paper towels and toilet paper (like much of the world) and requiring carbon offsets on airline tickets would be far more environmentally effective, but politically unpalatable to Democrats in DC,NY, Salem or Sacramento. The Oregon GOP should do everything it legally can, including quorum negation, to protect our carbon based industries and workers (aka "deplorables") by stymieing our morally elitist ineffectual green agenda. We are Democrats, and like Republicans, we want other people to bear the sacrifice, not us.

Up Close: Road to the White House said...

Republicans in the Senate (Oregon and elsewhere) have their heads in the sand -- or in some equally dark place.
Running out on their electoral mandate is unprofessional and irresponsible, not to mention other adjectives I won't
bother to list here.
Maybe if we're lucky they will stay in Idaho (or wherever they went) and never return.
There are none so blind as those who make it their business not to see. None so deaf as those who
make it their business not to hear. None so ignorant as those who make it their business never to learn.
Republicans are once again doing what they do best: making the very rich even richer, at the expense of
all the rest of us.
Herb Childs, Ashland

Posted by Peter Sage, on behalf of Herb Childs

Anonymous said...

Herb Childs is a partisan raging liberal, who would never accuse a democrat of doing the same things that republicans are doing today, so let me do it for him. Kate Brown and her democrat friends have pulled this stunt before themselves. They are hypocrites.

Legislative minorities have used walkouts as a negotiating tool many times in Oregon. Here are some of the most significant ones prior to Thursday's walkout:

May 7, 2019: Senate Republicans walked out for four days to protest a $2 billion tax package for K-12 schools. They later struck a deal with Brown, getting Democrats to kill bills addressing guns and vaccine exemptions. The deal also included a “reset” on the cap-and-trade bill and a promise not to walk out again.

March 8, 2007: Senate Republicans staged a brief walkout over a tax deal. Gov. Ted Kulongoski asked the Oregon State Police to fetch two Republican senators from Corvallis for a vote. The senators returned voluntarily without being arrested.

June 25, 2001: House Democrats, including then-Minority Leader Kate Brown, staged a five-day walkout to prevent a Republican maneuver to redraw state legislative districts without the governor’s signature.

April 14, 1995: Ten Senate Democrats walked out, holing up in a Salem restaurant and denying Republicans a quorum, after Republicans decided to kill an award named after the late Sen. Frank Roberts, a Democrat.

1971: Both House and Senate Democrats staged walkouts during the session, but neither lasted more than a day. Senate Democrats walked out to protest Republican leadership’s refusal to consider ratification of a federal constitutional amendment lowering the voting age from 21 to 18. State Police rounded up missing lawmakers, who were at a Salem legislator’s house. House Democrats also walked out, although the reason is unclear. Oregon State Police were unable to locate the missing legislators, who were hiding in the Senate Majority Leader’s office.

https://www.statesmanjournal.com/story/news/2019/06/20/oregon-legislators-minority-often-use-walkouts-leverage-senate-republicans/1516995001/

Up Close: Road to the White House said...

Why be anonymous? Unlike some anonymous comments, this one is not nasty, nor does it speculate on my sexual capacity. It simply calls someone else a "partisan raging liberal" (It didn't seem raging to me) but otherwise was quite sensible in projecting a point of view. People generally discount as dishonest and uninformed (or vile) anonymous comments. Since you have the capacity to write intelligently, I wish you would sign your posts.

But suit yourself.

Mudpuddle said...

Well reasoned, Peter. Thank you.

Anonymous said...

"Raging" doesn't imply that Mr. Childs is out of control. It means that he's a hard-core, fervent progressive. He would acknowledge that. He lives in Ashland, and he writes opinion pieces for the Daily Tidings. You have to be liberal to do that. No offense was intended towards Mr. Child's character. Only that he's a highly partisan liberal democrat, and he sees the world through those lenses.

Bill Meyer - KMED said...

Herb, quite the foolish, uninformed opinion smacking of mob rule worship. The "electoral mandate" is to represent your constituency to the best of your ability, and use the tools legally available. This is exactly what the minority GOP did...as the minority Dems did several years ago in a dust up over redistricting. NOT doing your job is enabling tyrants wishing to economically skin your constituents.