Saturday, March 30, 2019

Green New Deal legislation

"Make polluters pay."


That is a nice, clear sentence and sentiment.  


Or maybe, "Make polluters pay us back" would be better.


Ocasio-Cortez. Unapologetic smackdown politics.
Simple works in political messaging. Simple means clear and decisive. Complications and nuance can come across as insincere. Trump understood and practiced this; Hillary did not.
Hillary was CSPAN. Trump was tabloid.

And lots of people like the fact that the nuance-complication people, the experts, don't like Trump, and he doesn't like them. Their mutual dislike proves that Trump is strong and steadfast.

Simple political messaging is not new with Trump. "Tippecanou and Tyler, too" is not deep policy analysis, but General William Harrison became famous for victory in the battle of Tippecanou against Shawnee Indian chief Tecumseh, and it worked as a slogan in a campaign song in 1840.  

"Remember the Maine" was a simple sentiment, undiminished by being false. People got the message: Spain injured us, so get revenge.

Simple works. Smackdown works. An ongoing premise of this blog is that the marginal voter knows at most seven things about a candidate. They vote on the basis of whether or not they feel the candidate is on their side. It makes Trump's vulgarity and narcissism irrelevant. A great many people think he is on their side, and they like it when he smacks down opponents.

The Green New Deal has great potential power as a message. People now remember FDR's New Deal favorably, and associate it with Social Security. It was bitterly contentious in the 1930's but rosy glasses have obscured this.

Trump, Fox, and the GOP are working right now to transform the Green New Deal message into a simple negative:  Ban cars and hamburgers, how crazy! Meanwhile, serious proposals are coming forward on behalf of the Green New Deal, fleshing it out from an aspiration to a program. 

Blog reader Wayne Taylor, a molecular biologist and now emeritus professor, wrote comments to previous posts, some of which I show below as a Guest Post. The Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend Act (H. R. 763) has support from Democrats and, as of today, one Republican, a Representative from the SW coast of Florida representing an upscale, environmentally conscious district that includes Coral Gables and Naples, Florida.

It is serious legislation, which collects a carbon emission tax and then rebates it per capita to the public. It attempts to price the externality of emissions, not to raise money. Carbon emitters create a cost bourn by the general public. Charge them for it, then rebate it back to everyone. The bill is CSPAN-serious, but it need not be described that way.

Make polluters pay. Pay us.


Guest Post by Wayne Taylor


Taylor
"The Green New Deal is an aspirational Progressive agenda that Repuglicans have accused would bankrupt our economy and ruin America. In fact, it is a wish list of goals for the energy transition that can save us from the ravages of global warming and over $40 Trillion in damages over 30 years, but only if we invest about $2 Trillion (2% of our GDP) to build the new solar and wind energy infrastructure. This would allow us to retool and retire the outmoded coal, oil, and gas energy factories. Such an energy transition would be regarded as an energy war for the vested interests of the fossil fuel industry. Since our lives and well-being depend upon making this economic revolution happen, we need to also engage in the energy war on the winning side of the future. Solar and Wind energy.

We in Citizens Climate Lobby (CCL) now have a bill before Congress that will make the energy transition happen, called the Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend Act (H.R. 763). It is now supported by many Congress People including our new Rep. Gil Cisneros (D, House Rep. Dist. 39, Fullerton, CA), who recently replaced Ed Royce (R), in the US House of Reps..  

The idea for the Energy Innovation act is simply to use the market mechanism to make energy polluters pay for use of the atmosphere as their "sewer" or smokestack. This law would work by the "Carbon fee and dividend" (CFD) mechanism, charging polluters who emit excess carbon dioxide to pay a tax at the mine or wellhead, at the increasing rate of about $10 per ton of CO2, increased $10 per year, emitted from the burning of coal, oil, or gas. The money collected by the federal govt. would all be put into a fund to be given back to taxpayer citizens as a Dividend. People would be able to use their monthly dividend (about $350 per month per family) to offset the increased prices for gasoline and all other products made from use of fossil fuel energy (nearly everything to start with). Other countries who do not have the CFD policy would be able to make petro-products more cheaply, but they would also be required to pay a tariff proportional to their CO2 footprint when these items are sold as imports into our country. 

Modeling studies (RIMI) have shown that over 60% of families would get more monetary benefit from the CFD policy than they would need to pay from increased prices, so this is a progressive way to facilitate the energy transition using the market. As people put their money into buying cars and appliances etc. that are less carbon-intensive, the economy will favor energy sources like solar and wind which have no fee imposed. This policy is supported by Democrats and Repuglicans alike. This makes it politically feasible. We have no time to lose, so please call your US Rep., and tell them to support HR 763, the Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend act."



4 comments:

Anonymous said...
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Rick Millward said...

I have often commented on the hidden costs to the economy that comes from producers not accounting for the price paid by the environment. This is literally a "dirty little secret", that was recognized at Love Canal and elsewhere and sparked an environmental movement that has both economic and quality of life components. Now we have Climate Change upon us which is simply a the realization that it's far worse than we could imagine, hence the desperate denials from those who most likely avoid other inconvenient truths in their lives.

The GND, carbon tax, etc. may have positive effects, one hopes, but it is finally a recognition of the problem on a scale that demands governmental action. The excesses of the American lifestyle will no doubt experience profound changes as these measures are taken. Hopefully some will welcome them, as the understanding of the seriousness of the situation grows, as necessary for survival and a mitigation of future suffering.

Thad Guyer said...

Here's the real simple bipartisan messages: (1) "we can win without sacrifice" and (2) "the Green New Deal is politically toxic". As to the GND, senate Democrats officially killed the GND earning not a single vote, and did so expressly based solely on a political explanation. That was the right decision because the GND is the most ridicule-ready political bumbling since Walter Mondale was wiped out by Ronald Reagan for leading the Democratic chant "let's raise taxes!"

The first message on climate change "win without sacrifice" would be a winner if it could be sold. But it can't. Why? Because the Democrats message of "free money", of "keep polluting and get a check" takes a back seat to the better yet GOP message-- "don't pay in the first place". Expect to hear almost nothing from our Democratic field on this new born to fail carbon tax legislation. And that is the right political decision.

Democrats have learned a few lessons from the GOP over the years. Never say raise taxes except on the "superrich", never demand sacrifice from voters, and climate hypocrisy is better than electoral defeat. 2020 could be a great year for virtue signaling so long as we don't advocate actual virtue with a price tag.

Andy Seles said...

McConnell failed in his sham vote attempt as explained here: "He has taken the original Green New Deal proposal, put it in his own resolution and scheduled what amounts to a show vote as the bill lacks the votes in the Republican-led Senate. But it's doubtful the strategy will produce any immediate signs of division, as Democrats have largely rallied around the strategy from Senate Minority Leader Charles E. Schumer (D-N.Y.) to vote present.

The liberal activists who have helped Ocasio-Cortez elevate the Green New Deal are on board with the plan, dismissing McConnell as someone who sides with industry over the environment.

"The only reason he is calling for this vote is to score some points for the oil and gas executives who bankroll his campaigns. This vote is a sham," Stephen O'Hanlon, spokesman of the Sunrise Movement, told The Washington Post's Energy 202 newsletter.
"https://www.chicagotribune.com/news/nationworld/politics/ct-mcconnell-green-new-deal-democrats-20190323-story.html

Support Oregon HB 2020 which establishes a Carbon Policy Office within the Oregon Department of Administrative Services and directs the Director of the Carbon Policy Office to adopt the Oregon Climate Action Program by rule. Oregon can lead the way on this, creating Green New Deal jobs as we gradually transition from fossil fuels.
https://olis.leg.state.or.us/liz/2019R1/Downloads/MeasureAnalysisDocument/43905

California now requires solar panels on all new construction.
"One out of every 50 new U.S. jobs was in the solar industry.
Solar industry employment growth outpaced that of the overall U.S. economy by 17 times as it increased by over 51,000 jobs, for a total of 260,077 U.S. solar workers.
The number of solar jobs increased in 44 of the 50 states in 2016.
Women represent a greater proportion of the solar workforce than in previous years, rising from 18.7% in 2013 to 28% in 2016.
California employs the most solar workers, followed by Massachusetts, Texas, Nevada, and Florida." http://fortune.com/2017/02/07/us-solar-jobs-2016/
Support the Green New Deal and you support jobs for the future, not to mention saving the planet fro the Greedheads.
Andy Seles