Wednesday, March 27, 2019

Divest in Fossil Fuel Companies? Reader pushback.

Clear message: burn the ships

Some readers disagree with yesterday's post.



"This is hilariously illogical."


Herb Rothschild writes a guest post today. He disagrees with me. He is in good company.

Progressive Facebook groups piled onto me, explaining that I was dead wrong in saying it was morally inconsistent to condemn fossil fuel producers if one in fact uses--and is dependent upon--fossil fuels. The argument they made was that a transition to renewables was underway and should be encouraged politically, which one did with symbolic messages like divestment and refusal to take fossil fuel campaign contributions.

Body language messages--big unmistakable symbols--is what this blog is all about. They raise a good point. You point the direction you want to go by bold gestures of denial. The example every schoolchild knows is that of Hernan Cortes. He scuttled his ships in front of his men. Cortez wasn't anti-ship. He was making an unmistakable body-language gesture: no turning back. 

I acknowledge this. 

The point in my blog post yesterday was to say that there are multiple messages sent by the gesture of stigmatizing fossil fuel companies, and not only the intended one. Accepting campaign funds from an organization acknowledges a connection to that industry. The politician, the donor, and the public all agree: take their money means you find the industry legitimate. Not taking it means you don't.

However, there is simultaneously the accidental message of hypocrisy, since AOC and the Democratic candidates for president use the products they shame, and opponents will point that out, loudly and repeatedly. The hypocrisy message may be more politically salient than the green energy message.

Social media critic
And the second is the "who has my back" message. Food, energy, lumber, fiber, minerals, are produced in rural areas. Democrats are intentionally showing disrespect for fossil fuels. Rural voters see the boats burning, too. They don't read this a concern for people like themselves in the "rustbelt." Nor as empathy for an industry in decline. Nor commitment to retraining and re-industrialization. They read it as disrespect, and vote accordingly.

The unintended message inside the intended message--that, too, is what this blog is all about.


But today I give voice to my critics, and the most articulate of them is Herb Rothschild. He is a retired English professor, and current peace activist, living in southern Oregon.  

Guest Post, by Herb Rothschild:

"I wouldn’t dare dispute your prediction that Democratic presidential hopefuls will find it a mistake politically to reject contributions from fossil fuel industries. You are far more insightful about electoral politics than I. But I do feel confident that I can usefully challenge your position that it is hypocritical for anyone who uses fossil fuels to advocate divestment from the corporations that produce and sell them.
Herb Rothschild (photo by Allen Hallmark)
I personally divested from such corporations a good while ago. My largest investment currently is in a corporation that supplies wind- and solar-generated electricity to utilities. But I’m keenly aware that, thanks to an inheritance of which I cannot divest myself, I derive some income from oil and gas production. 
So, I don’t think of myself “pure.” Even without that special circumstance, like all of us (as you said) I’m complicit in global warming. But do I think myself hypocritical? It’s a strange notion of hypocrisy that holds it hypocritical to reduce our contributions to global warming even as we acknowledge that we contribute to it. I really don’t understand your thinking here, Peter.
To speak most broadly, we all live at the expense of each other. Material goods are finite. But that doesn’t license us to engross as much of the world’s wealth as we can and to use it with maximum self-indulgence and waste. Surely we don’t have to choose absolute poverty to avoid a charge of hypocrisy when we practice temperance and generosity.
To speak specifically about divestment from the fossil fuel corporations, they don’t simply provide what we need. They actively promote our consumption. They have been the major force behind the effort to persuade people that global warming is a hoax, and they lobby hard to prevent adoption of public policies that will facilitate the transition to green energy. Additionally, they are gross environmental polluters, cleaning up their messes only when they are forced to.
Thanks to technology, the transition to a green economy is moving more rapidly than people know and in spite of the political clout of the great fossil fuel corporations. In 2017, the price of wind and solar power in India dropped 50% to $35-$40 a megawatt hour. Power from a new coal-fired plant using Indian coal is about $60 a megawatt hour and $70 using imported coal. Around the world, more coal-fired plants have shut down in the first two years of Trump’s presidency, despite his best efforts to promote coal, than in the eight years of Obama’s presidency. Planned natural gas plants are being cancelled because banks and utilities are tumbling to the fact that, long before their 40-year expected life is over, they will have become stranded assets.
It didn’t take divestment from General Electric to bring about its fall. It simply cannot sell many turbines for new coal- and gas-fired power plants. As for oil, the growth in electric vehicles spells the end of its dominance. By the early 2020s they will account for all the growth in sales globally. Frankly, money managers would do well to divest from such corporations for financial reasons alone."

7 comments:

Rick Millward said...

If any issue that illustrates the Progressive/Regressive dichotomy it's climate change.

It may be fun for Regressives to point out Progressive inconsistencies but it doesn't change the facts. Climate change is real. Its impact on humans is enormous and denial will only make things worse.

The Green New Deal simply is a recognition by government that it will take on the role that it is necessary to do in order to address this on the scale that will be needed to adapt to a possible extinction event. Regressives lack the imagination to envision a world without food.

Yes, many of us will not make personal changes unless forced, either by direct experience or coercion by authority. This goes for business too. For instance, the concept of "profit" is likely to come into serious question in the face of a global threat that makes it irrelevant.

Anonymous said...

Rick,

The climate will continue to change as it has done for millions of years, whether or not humans or the rest of the animal kingdom interfere.

The question is whether we will slow it down or speed it up. Unintended consequences will have the final say.

Mike

Anonymous said...

Contrary to Mike’s post above the earth’s climate hasn’t changed much at all for millions of years. In fact, it’s been stable and temperate for Billions of years. That is scientific reality and something we face daily in the new ‘Trumpian’ reality world. I heard it on fill in the _____ news or the radio now is exchanged for having to read exhaustive and complicated studies.

America has never been more ignorant and Oregon is the perfect example of ground zero.

Wayne Taylor said...

Hi Herb, and Pete,
It is undoubtedly true politically-speaking as Peter said, that Repuglicans and fossil-fuel advocates will point out the hypocrisy of people who work to promote the conversion of our energy system from fossil fuels like coal, oil, and gas to clean renewable solar and wind energy --, while simultaneously driving a gas-powered car and eating meat for dinner. I am not a saint or purist, but I still have invested lots of my money in personally promoting our use of clean energy, so that my home is now 95% running on solar energy from the roof panels, and our hybrid Ford C-Max car is running on 50% battery power from our solar energy. So no, I'm not at 100% green renewable energy, but I am at least trying, and as Herb has pointed out, I am saving money by using solar energy instead of paying Edison for electricity.. For Regressives to challenge me as an impure hypocrite, it would be like on the sinking Titanic ship, if some evil person pulled the plugs on the lifeboats, and then challenged me to let them have my seat in the lifeboat while I was bailing out the water.

However, as a scientist, I know that we really must make this clean energy transition happen ASAP for our own health and survival, and to avoid some 44 Trillion (with a T) dollars of damage from climate-caused disasters over the next thirty years. The cost of human tragedy from hurricanes, wildfires, droughts, floods, and sealevel-rise is incalculable.

Not only is the fossil energy industry senescent economically due to its non-competitive stranded assets, but these polluting corporations are deliberately using obfuscation and deception to prevent the energy transition, and stymie their lo$$es. Herb R. pointed out that "Around the world, more coal-fired plants have shut down in the first two years of Trump’s presidency, despite his best efforts to promote coal, than in the eight years of Obama’s presidency. Planned natural gas plants are being cancelled because banks and utilities are tumbling to the fact that, long before their 40-year expected life is over, they will have become stranded assets."

We can appreciate that the fossil corporations are fighting for their economic survival using all means available, moral and otherwise. But when the "creative destruction" of the marketplace turns inevitably against their profits, it is ironic that they cry "foul", and demand that their government subsidies (now at $20 Billion per year) should be increased. The key in fighting against these entrenched fossil energy corporations, as Peter says, is to not demonize the workers in these companies, and not disparage the physics behind the concept of coal or gas generator plants; But instead to admit that these factories are not evil, but they have had their day and are now counterproductive and must be recycled for more benign uses in the future. The evil being done by these corporations is that they are trying to hide the damage being done by excess CO2 emission and pollution, to perpetuate their mode of operation and keep the profits flowing. So these corporations need to be eliminated and replaced by economic and moral necessity, as soon as reasonably possible. This is an energy war. To be continued.

Wayne Taylor said...

Energy War, continued. How to win.

We must be smart about how we fight the energy war, since our well-being depends upon it. So yes, we need to provide for retraining and hiring displaced fossil workers into new green energy companies, and we must not demonize the fossil energy companies. Simply point out that their stranded assets are not a good investment, and we can create many-fold more jobs in the new green energy industry while doing less harm to the environment. It's just common sense. This should allow the red-staters to embrace the new energy economy, while letting go of the outmoded coal, oil, and gas plants.

There will still be those in the Repuglican camp who will hypocritically point the finger of hypocrisy at people working to make the energy transition real. I don't care. Sometimes, as in this issue of the Energy War, the fight is worth it. It is necessary and morally worthy to try to do the right thing, even if it is politically risky. In war, you must choose sides and fight. I know we will win both morally and economically, so the fight is worth it.

Wayne Taylor said...

The Green New Deal is an aspirational Progressive agenda that Repuglicans have accused would bankrupt our economy and ruin America. In fact, it is a wish list of goals for the energy transition that can save us from the ravages of global warming and over $40 Trillion in damages over 30 years, but only if we invest about $2 Trillion (2% of our GDP) to build the new solar and wind energy infrastructure. This would allow us to retool and retire the outmoded coal, oil, and gas energy factories. Such an energy transition would be regarded as an energy war for the vested interests of the fossil fuel industry. Since our lives and well-being depend upon making this economic revolution happen, we need to also engage in the energy war on the winning side of the future. Solar and Wind energy.

We in Citizens Climate Lobby (CCL) now have a bill before Congress that will make the energy transition happen, called the Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend Act (H.R. 763). It is now supported by many Congress People including our new Rep. Gil Cisneros (D, House Rep. Dist. 39, Fullerton, CA), who recently replaced Ed Royce (R), in the US House of Reps..

The idea for the Energy Innovation act is simply to use the market mechanism to make energy polluters pay for use of the atmosphere as their "sewer" or smokestack. This law would work by the "Carbon fee and dividend" (CFD) mechanism, charging polluters who emit excess carbon dioxide to pay a tax at the mine or wellhead, at the increasing rate of about $10 per ton of CO2, increased $10 per year, emitted from the burning of coal, oil, or gas. The money collected by the federal govt. would all be put into a fund to be given back to taxpayer citizens as a Dividend. People would be able to use their monthly dividend (about $350 per month per family) to offset the increased prices for gasoline and all other products made from use of fossil fuel energy (nearly everything to start with). Other countries who do not have the CFD policy would be able to make petro-products more cheaply, but they would also be required to pay a tariff proportional to their CO2 footprint when these items are sold as imports into our country.

Modelling studies (RIMI) have shown that over 60% of families would get more monetary benefit from the CFD policy than they would need to pay from increased prices, so this is a progressive way to facilitate the energy transition using the market. As people put their money into buying cars and appliances etc. that are less carbon-intensive, the economy will favor energy sources like solar and wind which have no fee imposed. This policy is supported by Democrats and Repuglicans alike. This makes it politically feasible. We have no time to lose, so please call your US Rep., and tell them to support HR 763, the Energy Innovation and Carbon Dividend act.

Andy Seles said...

This evening the Jackson County Democrat Central Committee voted on a resolution to support
OR HB2020 which works through a cap, trade and invest policy to reduce Oregon's contribution to global warming. More info. on the bill here: https://olis.leg.state.or.us/liz/2019R1/Measures/Overview/HB2020

Also, if it interest you, find my Op.Ed. in yesterday's Ashland Tidings which considers the Green New Deal, as it addresses not only climate change but economic, social, and racial justice in the context of the necessity balancing capitalism and socialism: https://ashlandtidings.com/opinion/guest-opinion/the-imperative-of-a-green-new-deal
Andy Seles