Wednesday, December 11, 2019

Guest Post: How Democrats Win

The Democratic base: Churchgoing, Moderate, Patriotic.

     

     The dispossessed believe that “America has been largely taken away from them and their kind, though they are determined to try to repossess it... The old American virtues have already been eaten way by cosmopolitans and intellectuals."

     Sociologist Daniel Bell, 1959


Democrats could blow this election.  Or win it.

A Guest Post observation.


Economic populism is a winner for Democrats. Trump faces a problem that is real, measurable, and widely felt: the rich have, indeed, gotten richer, and the broad middle class has gotten poorer. Voters at the margin, persuadable ones, understand that the 2017 tax bill rewarded corporations and the richest. Democrats are the ones addressing the kitchen table issues of health care, wages, and college.

The problem for Democrats will be cultural populism. That is how Trump communicates he is on the side of struggling Americans.


Larry DiCara is an attorney and civic leader in Boston, Massachusetts and an astute observer and practitioner of politics. As a young man he was elected to the Boston City Council, having negotiated the ethnic political divides in a city where the immigrant melting pot melts slowly and incompletely. It is mostly an "Irish" city, making DiCara a minority, indeed doubly so since DiCara is also a fish-out-of-water Harvard educated liberal.

DiCara thrived politically for five decades because he understands and respects the cultural conservatism of his neighbors. The lesson for Democrats as they sort through the potential candidates: they need to demonstrate cultural respect and empathy. 

DiCara writes occasional newsletters to friends and college classmates (he is yet another) and these are observations he shared.



Guest Post by Larry DiCara

"How Democrats Win"


DiCara
Winning the Presidency, and the Congress, and State Legislatures in 2020 requires that Democratic candidates be responsive not only to the noises emanating from the loudest cymbals on the political fringes, but also to the great majority of Americans. 

There are certain hot buttons that Democrats should push at their peril--terrorists should be allowed to vote; private health insurance should be discontinued; reparations for slavery; Colin Kaepernick is always right. These are topics which are likely to drive the common man, who may consider himself “dispossessed” as Bell and others referred to him, to vote for Donald Trump, notwithstanding that they consider him an ignorant bully. 

Trump has already begun his campaign by suggesting that Democrats are nothing but a bunch of warmed-over Godless Socialists. The American people never elected Eugene Debs or Norman Thomas, and they will not elect Bernie Sanders or anyone who agrees with his socialist platform. 

We must be careful to protect our base and expand it, rather than to drive good and decent people into the other camp. I agree with Governor Gina Raimondo of Rhode Island that “We cannot become the party of the checklist” but that “we should focus on economic security for all Americans.” 

We cannot succumb to what Matthew Yglesias has termed The Great Awokening. We must resist what Natalia Dashan has discussed in Palladium as 'a new ideological orthodoxy that is trickling down from elite colleges into the rest of society and is resulting in a nation which is becoming more polarized.' We must embrace patriotism, which means not pandering to one interest group or another over the good of the nation.


I would argue that Democrats cannot dismiss people who go to church, drink Budweiser, and eat red meat. Many of them should be on our team. Economic issues are far more important than the culture wars. The common man was the loser in the recent tax bill; their sons and daughters are the ones sent to fight wars without reason, not the sons and daughters of the rich. 


The great majority of the American people are not “deplorables” even if they may not frequent Starbucks, or Whole Foods, or hot yoga ('Bikram,' as I’m told it is called). Democrats cannot demonize their fellow citizens because they celebrate ethnic holidays. Democrats cannot permit themselves to be labeled as a party which is Godless and un-American. We have been losing that battle for a long time. Professor Theda Skocpol from Harvard has advised all of us: 'The road to national power does not run primarily through California, Massachusetts, or the TV studios of MSNBC in New York City. It runs through middle-American suburbs, cities, and rural counties. To win in 2020 and beyond, Democrats have to organize everywhere and project a national message that resonates widely.”'

Getting elected is about winning. I play to win, on behalf of my clients, my family, at squash, or at softball, but certainly in politics."



6 comments:

Ayla said...

It wasn't Bernie Sanders who alienated half of America by calling them irredeemable deplorables.

I saw a poll recently which showed that nationwide, of Democratic voters under age 35, 52% chose Bernie Sanders. Pretty impressive showing in a 15-way race.

In 2016, the Democratic Establishment turned their backs on stadium crowds of 15,000 young voters enthusiastically supporting Bernie Sanders and his call for a living wage, universal health care, forgiveness of student loan debt, and free tuition at public colleges. The pragmatic elders told them it was too risky to support the guy with the huge crowds, and we must vote for the woman speaking to groups of 400 people in high school gyms.

It's understandable if young voters do not care to listen to advice from their elders this time around. Bernie Sanders is The One who offers economic hope to the non-billionaires.

Joe Biden has significant responsibility for millions of Americans choking on student loan debt. There's video out there of Biden telling young Americans to 'give him a break, stop their complaining....'

If Democrats want to beat Trump, they should support the guy who can draw crowds as big as Trump's. How hard is that to figure out?

Rick Millward said...

As you may imagine, I agree with none of this. Here's the thing:

If we manage to elect a Democrat without strong Progressive principles and the energy to promote them we run the risk of another, worse Trump in the future. Republicans are done. They will continue to pander to racists, bigots, misogynists and religious fanatics and our best hope to defeat this is have a clear message to the actual people oppressed and disadvantaged by inequality, not white males terrified of losing status.

Sally said...

"Progressives" seem not to understand that Trump's election was a backlash.

Diane Newell Meyer said...

We need some hard facts on which faction of the dems and left-leaning independents will show up at the polls in the general election. We know that the middle and moderate voters will mostly show up, tho we don't know how they will vote, of course. We know that more progressive youth showed up in 2018. So, which do we cater to? Who will put us over the top?
Somehow I doubt that trump will do as well in the swing states this time, as I think that the vicious Hillary hate last time contributed to their swinging to trump.
The republicans have not pulled out their really nasty stuff against Sanders. Yet. Even trump seems to leave him alone, preferring to bad-mouth Biden or Warren. If Sanders becomes the front-runner, I would think there will be more vitriol against Sanders.
No one has shown me good evidence that we need the middle to win. Nor have I seen evidence that progressives will flock to the polls, if Sanders is not the nominee. And who will the Blacks ultimately support? We know that big numbers must turn out - that is for sure!

Anonymous said...

Ah yes, a paean to economic populism and trash Bernie and anyone who agrees him in the same breath. Even he consistently polls second behind Joe. Well played.
I love Democratic unity- it’s so, ah, inclusive...

Bob Warren said...

I wish to disagree with a previous personal estimate of Greg Walden, asserting that "he could have been great." No man who conducted himself as Greg Walden has during his tenure in Congress could in any way have possessed the basic,
common decency that goes with being great. He is nothing but a petty, mean spirited human being who, like most Republicans, is serving only to promote his own interests, not those of his fellow Americans. He has even been able to stomach Donald Trump and support him, which tells the whole story. The fools who voted for him will only suffer because of his idiocy.
Bob Warren