Friday, December 27, 2019

"Working class" is not an identity


People vote their identities.


FDR

"Society itself will be broken into so many parts, interests and classes of citizens. . . the multiplicity of interests. . . the multiplicity of sects."

     James Madison, Federalist No. 51


Voters want a candidate who validates and supports people like themselves, defined by race, ethnicity, religion, sex, and education. 

They don't define themselves as "workers."


Bernie Sanders raised the consciousness of Democrats. He said they had failed to address the economic distress of working Americans. The rich and powerful had gotten richer and more powerful; it was unjust and it was destroying America. Sanders said we need to bring back the FDR coalition, with policies of structural change and wealth redistribution. 

Elizabeth Warren echos it. Andrew Yang, too. People see the direction of the economy and are getting angry. They voted for Trump because they wanted a populist who would defend them against economic elites, saying need government intervention. Bring back FDR.


This blog received a comment from a Sanders supporter yesterday, which summarizes this thinking. It reads in full in yesterday's comment section, but here is a segment: 

    "Heck, I don’t care if Pete [Buttigieg] sleeps with a man if I can afford health care, my kids can afford college and there is some prospect of a brighter future as opposed to my further slide down the food chain. . . . Instead, Dems need to return to their FDR roots, throw out the neoliberal bourgeois, and offer concrete material benefits to the working class."

Maybe not. The American Dream is not to be a better paid factory worker, although that would be a welcome improvement over being a poorly paid one.

A career advisor to union officials told me that the near-universal goal of union leaders is for their children to be able to get out of the factory and do easier, more interesting work. Americans don't identify as "working class." They identify as "middle class," just like nearly everyone, so there is either one class or no class, in any case, it isn't how people think of themselves.

But people do have identity, and that is what they vote: race, religion, education, gender, sexual orientation, sect. Maybe all this talk by Sanders about a "political revolution" and by Warren about "structural change" just serves to scare people. Trump will certainly use it that way.

Professors Lilliana Mason and Julie Wronski did research that informed a quiz published in the New York Times. Their research argues that social sorting creates the real difference between Democrats and Republicans: elements of identity, not finances. CLICK 

People don't think ideologically, they say. They think in terms of who they are.

CLICK: Take the quiz
The New York Times "Quiz" predicted if a person was a Democrat or Republican by asking not about income, nor whether one thought America was on the right or wrong track nor whether one felt economic distress. Polls ask those questions, but the answers were largely predictable if one understands the demographic questions. The quiz asks: 

Race--are you Black, Hispanic, or Asian?
Are you religious?
Are you straight or homosexual?
Did you attend college?
Are you Protestant or Catholic?
Are you male or female?
Did you get a college degree?

And so on as it refined it further. Take the quiz.

This research and quiz reaffirm what other research has reported, that the most predictable test for swing voters was their level of racial resentment, not income. People have sorted themself into cultural teams and Trump succeeded in creating a white team, and especially a white male team. 

People who are white Christian, straight, male, and from a southern state are almost certainly part of a team, the red team, and Trump leads it. White Christian men may not admire Trump, or approve of him, but they understand him to be on the side of white Christian men. 

That team perceives itself to have an enemy, and the most salient one is not their rich bosses. It is the perceived threat by secular, woke liberals who disrespect their team. Leftist moral prudes are more frightening to them than are their employers.

There is a lesson for Democrats there.

Republicans have their team leader. Democratic candidate are in audition mode currently, choosing theirs. The denoted language, especially for Sanders, Warren, and Yang, is about economic injustice, but Democrats may well be evaluating what they hear based on entirely different criteria, not on the details of their plans but on the perceived character and interests of the candidate. Who does Biden connect with? Warren? Buttigieg?

Which of those people will stand up for people like themselves?




7 comments:

Rick Millward said...

"That team perceives itself to have an enemy, and the most salient one is not their rich bosses."

Yes, only it should be plural enemies because they are many and everywhere.

I heard a commentator say something interesting recently: "Maybe Trump's election just revealed a mean streak in the American electorate". That's putting it mildly, but more to the point is an example of the Regressive world view.

It's clear that the Regressive constituency is one of grievance, and perhaps justifiably so, but their choice of saviors shows they don't know who to blame for their plight; how they have been sacrificed on the altar of corporate greed. If they were to do so Sen. Sanders would win hands down, and a lot of politicians would face tar and feathers. It is in part a stubborn denial of the fact that their bosses actually don't care whether they survive or not, because acknowledging this would reveal their own unrequited loyalties and thinly veiled self-hatred.

"Mean streak", indeed.

Ayla said...

One more interesting link:

https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/10/how-democrats-killed-their-populist-soul/504710/

The result today is a paradox. At the same time that the nation has achieved perhaps the most tolerant culture in U.S. history, the destruction of the anti-monopoly and anti-bank tradition in the Democratic Party has also cleared the way for the greatest concentration of economic power in a century. This is not what the Watergate Babies intended when they dethroned Patman as chairman of the Banking Committee. But it helped lead them down that path. The story of Patman’s ousting is part of the larger story of ****how the Democratic Party helped to create today’s shockingly disillusioned and sullen public*****, a large chunk of whom is now marching for Donald Trump.

Ayla said...

I note my previous comments have now disappeared. Maybe your blog fluke has returned, with some comments not being shown even after approved.

Or maybe you've decided you're tired of my comments -- if so, fair enough. One last comment for the ether:

Perhaps there is so much racial resentment among the white working class because so much economic pain has been inflicted upon them with a racial justification. The Clintonites worked to pass NAFTA through Congress in their first year in part by explicitly saying the poor Mexicans needed the manufacturing jobs more than 'white privileged' Americans.

Ohio went for Trump by 7 points in 2016, after voting for Obama twice. If Democrats could understand why this struggling Rust Belt state rejected Hillary Clinton so thoroughly, they would be better able to contest the election in 2020.

{It's too bad the Rust Belt Democrat who's proven he can win statewide, champion of working Americans Senator Sherrod Brown of Ohio, is not running rather than Mayor Pete, who lost a statewide race in Indiana by 25 points. I'm finding it real hard to understand why Pete is seen as a viable candidate in this race}

Up Close: Road to the White House said...

I welcome comments that improve the public dialog.

Signed comments are presumed legitimate. Anonymous ones are suspect.

Computer robots have been successful in duplicating the names of prior commenters, and then they essentially copy and paste news stories. I delete those for copyright reasons. Please do not repost news articles. Write comments in your own voice, ideally comments that respond to material that is the subject of the blog post.

A local spammer writes two or three proposed comments a day, expressing his interest in my sex life and genitalia. I am flattered by his interest, but I delete them. He can keep sending them; I will keep deleting them.

Anonymous said...

I am a Non Affiliated Voter (NAV). NAVs are the majority of voters in Jackson County, and Rs have a slight (3K) edge over Ds. I did not vote for Trump in 2016, I held my nose and voted for HRC. I reluctantly took the NYT quiz. I'm not a POC (white), religion not important, straight, college, protestant and male. I might agree with the quiz for the first 5 questions, because my responses put me almost directly on the line between the two parties. But the last answer, male, makes me a Republican by +19. Really? My genitalia makes me a Republican? Clearly the quiz is too simplistic; and your theory (from yesterday) that the Eastside professional elite should make political choices for the lower class Westsiders, along with it.

My theory is echoed by Ayla a bit. The anti-bank tradition in the Democratic Party was exemplified by Andrew Jackson. Do Dems have Jefferson-Jackson dinners anymore? No, they do not. Does Trump prominently display Jackson's portrait? Yes, indeed. The roles have switched. Take a trip to the Midwest. I did last year and heard grumblings about "Limosine Liberals." The perception is that Dems represent the political/economic/cultural elite, not the working class.

Dems can win if they engage the young and support policies for average, OK, middle class workers. They will lose if they continue to push PC neoliberal identity politics. But don't listen to me, it's your funeral ...

Andy Seles said...

IMHO, well-said Rick, Ayla & Anonymous. Let's cut to the chase. America is once again at an historic crossroads: one path leads directly to institutionalized fascism/oligarchy and attendant climate catastrophe and alienation, the other begins a long, hard slog to preserving and expanding the commons where phrases like "we the people," "united we stand" and America mean something. There's no greater feeling than belonging to something bigger than yourself.
"Not me, us."

Andy Seles

trishka said...

Thanks for posting this - it's interesting and important. I don't think the quiz matters as much as the research that informs it.

I think it's a bad plan to ignore research that doesn't fit our world view - and I say this as a staunch supporter of Elizabeth Warren.

This is my bias, but I believe the Dems are better served if we base our policies and candidate selection on science and data, rather than who tells us what we want to hear.