The GOP is not stuck with Trump. GOP voters have options.
Most of his opponents are trying to avoid confrontation. They are the "Un-Cola."
Chris Christie is the exception.
People who remember the 1960s know about 7UP, the "uncola". Their idea was to position the big two brands, Coke and Pepsi, as "The Establishment," and 7UP as the primary alternative. It wasn't a frontal assault on the beverage leaders. 7UP didn't say cola tasted bad, or even that 7UP tasted better. Instead, 7Up was new and cool, an alternative.
There is an "un-cola, 7UP" quality to the campaigns of people hoping to replace Trump. They are un-Trump, jostling Trump with an implied criticism, but not confronting him. Ron DeSantis is positioning himself as a stronger-flavored Trump. Trump opposes abortion but DeSantis opposes it at six weeks. Trump attacks woke progressives, but DeSantis makes acknowledging diversity, equity, and inclusion illegal in Florida public education. He is a younger, nastier Trump, but not anti-Trump.
Nikki Haley is a fresh alternative to Trump, not his critic. In her New Hampshire Town Hall events I heard not one word of criticism of Trump. She said nothing about the 2020 election or January 6. She said she was honored to have been made Ambassador to the UN by him, but said nothing about the resignations by Trump's cabinet members in disgust and opposition to him. She is female. She has a sunny disposition. She smiles. America isn't enduring carnage, not in South Carolina at least, where Boeing and BMW are opening factories and hiring people. She is available if, for any reason, one is looking around for a candidate.
Vivek Ramaswamy is another un-cola candidate. He defends Trump and says the investigations and prosecutions of him for crimes are unjust. He says that he would immediately pardon the January 6 rioters. He denounces ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governmental) investing. He opposes affirmative action. He denounces "climatism," "Covidism," and "genderism" and calls them false secular religions. He has bold ideas and a positive outlook, if anyone wants that.They’re going to wriggle right up next to him and say "I’m almost like him, but I’m not quite as bad.” Let me tell you something, everybody. That’s going to lose.
“You have to be fearless, because he will come back — and right at you. And that means you need to think about who’s got the skill to do that, and who’s got the guts to do that, because it’s not going to end nicely.”Liz Cheney may have laid the groundwork, but the GOP was nowhere near ready to hear it. GOP voters may never be ready. But the prosecutions may erode Trump credibility and Fox has become wary of looking uncritical of Trump. Still, Trump will not fall of his own weight, leaving a space open for a non-confrontational alternative. A Republican candidate will need to take him down. Possibly Chris Christie. He may want revenge.
8 comments:
Of course. You bring a Sicilian Corleone to a mafia war. Christie can go to the mattresses. “Know your enemy.” -Sun Tzu
They say the polls are meaningless at this stage of the game, but they are indicators. Trump remains the undisputed leader of the Republican Party and the polls. He’s an evil madman and his cult followers love him for it.
For the hell of it, let’s imagine he were otherwise occupied, such as in court or prison. They’d probably nominate him anyway but if not, it would have to be someone who likes him. The only other possible contender with higher than single digits is Ron DeSantis, but he hasn’t announced yet and he’s busy getting his butt kicked by Mickey Mouse – not good optics for someone trying to be the tough guy. Chris Christie hasn’t announced either, and he pretty much ruined any chance of being the nominee by declaring he wouldn’t support Trump even if he was the Republican nominee.
The GOP has degenerated into something irredeemable, and it’s trying to drag the whole country down into the hole that it’s in.
I watch Chris Christie on ABC on Sunday mornings. Although I am not a Republican, he would be much better than the former Occupant and his facsimiles.
Christie is a disgusting opportunist. He kissed up to TFG knowing what he was getting in to.
I turn off any program he is on. I was tempted to ignore this blog post but felt I needed to say what everyone is thinking.
Fortunately, Christie will never bet near the White House. He is trying to be both Coke and 7-Up, and ending up as Zima.
Trump has cast himself as a victim and the rivals have no way to counter that narrative. It doesn't matter that it's completely untrue. It's an unassailable defense.
The problem they all have, including Christie, who is polling a rocking 1%, is that they have nothing to confront him with. It's no strategy to say "I'm just like you, only different".
Former Rep. Cheney has come the closest to providing a rational alternative and she suffered as a result. It has to begin with pointing out that Trump is only using politics as a way to get money and escape accountability. There's mounting evidence of the truth of this, and if enough followers wake up to this basic fact, which appeals to what I would hope is a universal aversion that humans have to being grifted, a candidate who positions themselves in this way could conceivably break through.
Perhaps more likely is a candidate who splits the Republican vote, but I think it will have to be someone with actual principles and nothing to lose. Lacking united opposition that decisively rebukes MAGA as a con, Trump will be the nominee.
It’s possible that Christie and Trump will mutually destroy each other, leaving the way open for a more positive candidate. There’s a long list of sane Republicans who could step into that scenario.
Meanwhile, the Democrats have to be hoping that doesn’t happen, because Trump may be the only Republican that Biden could beat. If something happens to Biden and it’s the politically inept Harris running instead, even that might not be true.
Also William Asa Hutchinson II, who in January 2023 completed his second term as governor of Arkansas. He actually has an impressive resume, according to Wikipedia. He is definitely qualified, whether or not you agree with his politics. He seems like a big improvement over Mike Huckleberry Hound, another former governor of Arkansas. He is a white, Christian man from the South, so he checks many boxes for the Republican Party. He is a Baby Boomer, born in 1950.
Another problem for Chris Christie is that is from the Northeast, New Jersey. The Republican Party is strongest in the South and West. Obviously the Orange Traitor is from New York, but he is a very different and unique political figure.
I assume Christi would be a better POTUS than trump. Who WOULDN'T be?
But would be really be a fifth, sixth, or seventh Corleone?
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