Friday, December 12, 2025

Music-maker: I created a protest song

The singer complains that my congressman, Cliff Bentz, prioritized loyalty to Trump over the interests of his district.

Artificial Intelligence did 99 percent of the work. 

It sounds to me like a mix of Barry McGuire's "Eve of Destruction," 1965, and Bruce Springsteen's "Born to Run," 1975. Not as good, of course, but reminiscent of them.

Listen to some of it -- or all of it. It is posted on YouTube. It is four minutes long. The song gets angrier as it progresses.

Click here
The song is, to my ear, credible as music someone might listen to, if one was in the mood for a political protest song.

I wanted to use a photo of Bentz, taken from the public domain.  For some reason the program would not let me use his photo. So I took an drawing of a gray-haired man of about 73 -- Bentz's age. The song suffers from having readers look at this still image rather than a very muscled Bruce Springsteen in a shirt with sleeves cut off, moving with animation on a stage.


ChatGPT would not let me write lyrics about Cliff Bentz or Trump. It said that it avoided commentary of specific personalities. There was an easy workaround. I told ChatGPT to write lyrics about a totally fictional congressman Biff Hence, and a fictional Donald Bump. It happily did so, assuring me each time it made a revision that this was for fictional political figures. 

I instructed ChatGPT to write lyrics in three verses, plus a chorus and bridge. I suggested three subjects. I said the song should criticize Bentz for having voted for the Big Beautiful Bill, which will make health insurance unaffordable for a great many people in this district. (Oregon's 2nd District has one of the nation's top concentrations of people getting health insurance through the Obamacare exchanges.) A second criticism was that the Big Beautiful Bill preserved tax cuts for billionaires, which increases the budget deficit. A third criticism was that Bentz was part of the GOP caucus obedient to Trump's demand that the Epstein files be kept sealed.

ChatGPT presented drafts in fewer than five seconds. It offered to make revisions that would either amp up the "protest vibe" or adjust the tone to an easy-going folk style. It inquired if I wanted the text to include more or fewer words that rhymed with "Hence." When the revisions were done, I substituted "Cliff Bentz" for "Biff Hence," and submitted those lyrics to the music application. 

The music app instantly matched the music and phrasing to the lyrics and supplied the voice, guitars, and drums that we requested. What astonishing technology!

I am not claiming this is great art. But I wanted to see if AI could produce a listenable protest song at the instructions of a novice. It could.



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Thursday, December 11, 2025

Spheres of influence

Trump ended the post-WWII, global, rules-based era.

It is now the regional-sphere-of-influence era.

I erred in a recent blog about Trump's philosophy. I wrote that it was a Thomas Hobbes world: dog-eat-dog, brutal, selfish, always at war, and everyone against everyone else.

No. Not the world, and not everyone against everyone. Trump views the world as divided into natural geographic and cultural regions. The great power in each area has free rein to do as they must inside their sphere. The regions give each other respect and space.

This foreign policy approach explains Trump's attitude toward Russia and Ukraine. Russia is the alpha country in its region and somebody needs to keep order. If Russia doesn't do it, the Georgians will be fighting with the Azerbaijanis over water or insults or religion or 200-year-old feuds, and every other ethnic or geographical special interest will make trouble. And, more important to Russia, the Ukrainians will play footsie with the West and give everyone else ideas. Squash that. 

1950s, 1960's and 1970s

Trump has no respect for NATO. Western Europe has its neighborhood, and the U.S. isn't in it. Europe is ours for the purpose of insulting. It is ours to chide for being overrun with the wrong sort of immigrants. But it is not ours to support. Europe is a competitor, not a natural ally, in Trump's view. The boundary between the European West and Russia is a blurry one. Are the Baltic countries really West?  Are Ukraine, Belarus, and Moldova? Are we really going risk nuclear war to protect Latvia? Could Americans find Latvia or Moldova on a map?

Trump is dissolving this map, putting a new line down the center of the Atlantic.

Europe, Japan, and China are trade rivals, not our dependents. If Europe is worthy of being a regional power, and if it really thinks that Ukraine is part of Western Europe, then it needs to pony up the troops and equipment to show Russia they act like one. Then Russia will adjust is goals to the reality on the ground. If Europe won't do it, then the game is settled: Ukraine is part of Russia. 

The Western Hemisphere is our neighborhood and problem. This makes sense of Trump's talk of absorbing Canada, buying Greenland, taking over control of the Panama Canal, and his meddling in governance of Venezuela, Brazil, Honduras, Mexico, Canada, and elsewhere.  

China has a sphere. The Uyghurs in western China are theirs to manage. North Korea is theirs. In ethnicity, culture, and language, so is Taiwan. China is the alpha. Do Americans want to die to preserve Taiwan's independence?

Africa is a "shithole" place as far as Trump is concerned, and that absolves us from a duty of care. We don't care about children starving there, or AIDS spreading, or civil war genocide taking place in South Sudan or anyplace else. Not our neighborhood. 

It is not illogical for Trump to think he is "the real peace president." As Trump sees it, wars happen when regional powers meddle in other spheres. Managing a sphere requires tough actions. Russia is doing it to Ukraine; we are doing it to Venezuela. Managing a region is hard, ugly work. Other regions should butt out.

In Trump's view, if the U.S. hadn't meddled and armed Ukraine, Ukraine would have been taken over by Russia in three days with minimal loss of life. Life would have gone on for Ukrainians. They would be at peace, perhaps not entirely happy with being part of Russia, but so what? Is California entirely happy being united with Alabama? Whether Ukraine is sovereign, a satellite, or a province of Russia is not Trump's concern. It is Russia's neighborhood.

This isn't the foreign policy order democracies imagined at the time the United Nations was formed but it is the one that a majority of Americans voted for in 2024. Like it or not, it is the one that has fallen into place. 



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Wednesday, December 10, 2025

"Let's not cut a deal."

     "President Trump dialed up pressure on Ukraine to swiftly accept a U.S.-designed peace plan, hardening his position toward the embattled country and its European backers. . . ."
    The Wall Street Journal, Dec. 10, 2025
Journalist Tam Moore disagrees.

He writes that it is in the common interest of Ukraine, Europe, and the world that Russian aggression not be rewarded.

It is the season when Christmas carolers sing about peace on Earth. Tam Moore writes that there isn’t peace. Russia is carrying out an invasion of its neighbor Ukraine. There is an aggressor. There is a victim.
Tam Moore in Vietnam

Moore is a lifelong journalist who worked in television in his early days and then in print, writing for the Capital Press. He was a Jackson County commissioner, elected as a Republican in 1974, back when Oregon Republicans were progressive on civil rights, when there were pro-choice Republicans elected locally and statewide, and when Republicans supported cleaning up the environment.


Guest Post by Tam Moore
Gonna lay down my sword and shield,
down by the riverside, …down by the riverside.
I ain't gonna study war no more. …ain't gonna study war no more.

     Down By the Riverside, African-American Spiritual ca. American Civil War


For out of Zion shall go forth instruction, and the word of the Lord from Jerusalem. He shall judge between the nations, and shall arbitrate for many peoples; they shall beat their swords into plowshares, and their spears into pruning hooks; nation shall not lift up sword against nation, neither shall they learn war anymore.
     Isaiah 2 3a-4

Advent. Time to think of Peace, Hope, Joy, and Love.
But I can’t get around it this year. Putin’s war in Ukraine is killing non-combatants almost every night. Munition-laden drones and a few precision missiles blast population centers and turn electrical power facilities into scrap metal.

The West encouraged this neo-imperialist Russian attack, first tolerating a 2014 Crimean election favoring a Russian-oriented oblast or provincial government. Russia claimed Crimea. Barack Obama and Angela Merkel fought a diplomatic battle to get European nations to join in financial sanctions. But no fight to eject the Russians.

Obama would later say they “had to pull in a lot of other Europeans kicking and screaming to impose the sanctions that we did and to prevent Putin from continuing through the Donbass and through the rest of Ukraine.”

As Serhii Plokhy observed in is 2023 book, The Russo-Ukrainian War, the 2022 Russian invasion produced a different reaction. There was a clear aggressor, and a victim – the Ukrainian people.

“Russia’s aggression against Ukraine produced a nineteenth-century war fought with twentieth-century tactics and twentyfirst-century weaponry,” Plokhy wrote.


Ukrainians blunted the invasion, and the country mounted fierce resistance. European neighbors and North Atlantic Treaty Organization member states sent material aid.

But here we are with a new U.S. administration perhaps more interested in looking good reality-TV style than in declaring that armed aggression be met with self-defense. And defenders be supported by countries of the democratic West.

Article 2 of the United Nations Charter is forgotten in the process. It says:
Member states must refrain from the threat or use of force against the territorial integrity or political independence of any state.

Armed force should not be used except in the common interest.
When I came home from Vietnam, the Army Reserve sent me to annual summer camps at the Armed Forces Staff College. We studied war. We also knew a lot about the human price paid for waging war.

So this Advent season, the U.S. pushes for trading the Donetsk Oblast for a ceasefire. And massive drone and missile strikes rain down on Ukraine’s cities. Let’s not cut a deal under these circumstances. Hold on to the swords. And use them in the common interest of halting the aggressor.

 


[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]



Tuesday, December 9, 2025

Home prices are disconnected from incomes.

Home prices seem crazy.

Oregon isn't as crazy as California, but I see the same problem: home prices six and eight times the median household income. 

In Medford, Oregon, the median home sale is just above $400,000. The median household income is $73,000 -- a ratio of six to one. In Bend, a pleasant city in central Oregon, the median household income is about $90,000 and the median home price is $760,000, a ratio of over eight to one.

Below is a color-coded interactive map. In places colored in yellow, home prices would require 30 percent or less of household income to pay the mortgage. There is a slider where one can set different household incomes. For the display below, I set it to Medford's level: $73,000 in household income.
Click to open

In Medford and Oregon generally, high home prices are caused by structural forces: expensive cost of construction, expensive land eligible for residential construction, and buyers from out of state doing remote work or retiring here. Oregon prices look cheap to Californians.

When I was a county commissioner in the early 1980s, tasked with writing zoning rules under the state's land use planning mandate, most of our attention was on protecting farm and forest land from housing. Housing costs were not an issue then. If you had a job, you could afford a house. Our attention was on protecting farm and forest land from people, people who would complain about farm sprays and smells, and woodlands from people who would accidentally start forest fires and then want fire crews to prioritize protecting their ill-considered home.

Our zoning decisions prioritized "livability," which we saw primarily as protection. Stop sprawl. Stop pollution. Stop building. Stop expansion into new areas. 

Forty years later, ironies abound. Our county had the dreaded wildfire that we worked to avoid. It did not take place in the "woodland interface" of housing next to forestland. The Almeda Fire of September 2020 burned over 2,600 homes. It took place in the county's densest urban area, going house to house. 

The zoning map we created made it nearly impossible to build housing in areas that are on or near farms. Our thinking was that homes encouraged parcelization and pricing land as homesites rather than farmland. It was well-intentioned. We imagined large blocks of pear orchards that needed protection from complaining neighbors. More ironies: Most pear orchards have been pulled out. In recent decades farming trended toward labor-intensive wine and cannabis crops. Every situation is different but most successful farm operations need workers living on or close to the farm. During the height of the cannabis boom, the public voiced outrage that farm workers were sleeping in tents or the open air, using porta-potties. How unkind to them! There is a reason for that. We had made farm-worker housing, even including RVs as seasonal housing, illegal. 

Fixing housing affordability won't be easy. People who live in a neighborhood of single-family homes do not want infill of less-expensive, multi-family housing, Home values depend in significant part on neighborhood desirability, and people oppose change. They support the idea of affordable housing in general -- just not anywhere near their homes.

Land use environmental groups are an influential faction within the Democratic Party. They are preservation-oriented. They successfully stopped incursion of a high-tech factory onto agriculturally zoned land in the Portland area. Environmental groups consider it an achievement to stop housing in farm zones. They think farm workers should live in town and commute to farm jobs. They are protecting farm land, they think. But housing built around "urban centered growth" fails to match the need of farmers and farm workers for housing that is practical and affordable. 

What made sense to me in 1983, when we passed the Omnibus Land Use Ordinance that rezoned Jackson County, did not age well on the issue of housing. I got elected as an environmentalist and an advocate of "livability." I still consider myself such. But I have my eyes open to how things have played out over 40 years. One element of livability is that people can afford to live here without being "house poor" or without having huge financial help from parents or the sale of a home in California.

Addressing the housing affordability problem will require a reckoning with zoning rules, land availability, permitting delays, and the need for a broader range of housing types. It requires investment in workforce housing and incentives to build where people work. It will require people to broaden their notion of "livability" and the common good. It will require we change our minds on some things, and that last point will be the most difficult.



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Monday, December 8, 2025

Render unto Caesar

"It’s not so simple."
That is the response of one reader, a Christian, to my observations on Saturday about public-facing Christianity.
I wrote that public political Christianity today functions less as a coherent ethical and spiritual framework and more as a form of collective identity, akin to team allegiance. I wrote that public-facing Christians substituted Trump for Jesus, negating --  indeed reversing -- the tenets of their own religion.
John Coster manages engineering and technology teams for a national wireless carrier and is co-inventor of five artificial intelligence patents that make energy use in data centers more efficient. He completed graduate studies in theology at Regent University.

Guest Post by John Coster
It’s not so simple.
Peter’s attempt to summarize Christianity’s relationship with politics in America today is thoughtful, but it oversimplifies a complex reality. To explain why, let me provide some context and then share my perspective.
Our modern era in the West is not the first to blend politics and religion of course. Leaders of empires throughout recorded history have claimed divine appointments to legitimize their absolute authority – including many ancient pagan religions. Even the American Revolution carried religious undertones. While rooted in Enlightenment ideals, it invoked divine mandate—our “unalienable rights” were said to come from our “Creator.”  Sermons of the time framed the Revolution as more than taxation; pastors preached that resisting tyranny was a moral imperative, even a holy war, at least for some people.
Christianity and Christendom
It is important to note the difference between Christianity and Christendom. Christianity is a movement that sprung from the teachings of Jesus and his Apostles. It was and is spiritual, organic and life-transforming. It is focused on the Kingdom of Heaven, which includes and transcends our current place and time.Christendom on the other hand is the mix of Earthly structures, human hierarchies and rules and laws that evolve to harness, manage and in many cases, exploit this powerful spiritual movement.
First-century Christianity flourished wildly in spite of constant persecution until 312. That is when Emperor Constantine essentially created Christendom by not only legalizing Christianity but persecuting any who did not follow his version of it. Libraries of books have been written analyzing the consequences of Constantine’s conversion. Infamous historical events brought to you by Christendom, include the Crusades, Inquisitions, colonial oppression, “Holy Wars” and other atrocities that self-described Christians have committed under the banner of Christ. It’s important to note that Christendom is not the only political power play done in the name of religion. And not all Christendom is evil. The creation of public education, hospitals, advocacy for the marginalized and poverty relief agencies are a few examples of the good done by Christendom
Authentic Christianity and Christendom have coexisted uneasily for a few thousand years. The irony is that (for anyone inclined to read it) history has shown that efforts to form human-led Christian theocracies always end up diluting, distorting, and destroying the very thing they say that they hope to achieve. If legislating Christian faith is ineffectual for advancing it, then why do so many try?   I think there are at least four reasons.
·         Lack of Knowledge. People often misunderstand Christianity’s principles. Like those trapped in destructive mindsets, they are vulnerable to cultural pressures and misinformation.
·         Low Biblical and Theological Literacy. Most people, including many Christians – and even Pastors - misunderstand the content and purpose of the Bible, or how to interpret it. Many people think it is a sort of instruction manual about how to live our lives (or how others should live theirs), and they quote or misquote it to support their ideas. The Bible was written over 1500 years and is a rich compendium of historical narrative, poetry, proverbs (also called wisdom literature), four accounts of Jesus’ life and teaching, and letters by his immediate followers (Apostles) to specific audiences with instructions and admonishments. I recommend a good starting point for the curious is Michael Bird's excellent book “Seven Things I Wish Christians Knew About the Bible" –or just read Google’s summary of it. It is short, entertaining, and informative.
·         Opportunists like Trump and influencers like Tucker Carlson understand how to leverage deeply held, if misinformed religious beliefs to gain wealth and political power. They are delighted with the number of people in their camps who have little discernment or knowledge of what I have just described.
·         Lack of Humility and Spiritual Curiosity. True Christianity is invitational, not coercive. Jesus taught that obedience to His commands flows from love, and that genuine followers are characterized by their love for one another (John 17) and behaviors consistent with the fruit of the Spirit (i.e. love, joy, peace, patience, kindness, goodness, faithfulness, gentleness and self-control -- Galatians 5:22–23).
  As a Christ-follower, I am saddened by how many Evangelical churches embrace alliances with modern Christendom. Yet I do not despair. While I cannot fix these distortions, I trust that God will ultimately set all things right.


[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]


Sunday, December 7, 2025

Easy Sunday. Nobody knows more than me

I am not picking on Donald Trump.

I am letting him speak for himself. If he looks ridiculous -- and he does -- that is on him.

"And nobody does it betterMakes me feel sad for the restNobody does it half as good as youBaby, babyDarlin', you're the best
Baby, you're the bestBaby, you're the bestSweet baby, you're the best. . . "
     Marvin Hamlisch and Carole Bayer Sager, "Nobody Does it Better," from the James Bond movie "The Spy Who Loved Me," 1977, sung by Carly Simon.


Donald Trump: "Nobody in the history of this country knows as much about infrastructure as Donald Trump."


This compilation clip is one minute and 16 seconds: There are other longer compilation clips, but this is enough for an Easy Sunday post. Sit back today. Relax. Don't worry about anything. Donald Trump is president, and he’s got everything handled: Click YouTube




[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]



Saturday, December 6, 2025

Go! Fight! Win! Christ is Number One!

Public-facing Christianity in the U.S. isn't a collection of beliefs. 

It is a collection of believers. 

It is a fan base with a popular -- but divisive -- team mascot.



I met a new minister in town pastoring a once-large, now poorly attended, local church. We exchanged names and pleasantries. I asked her what kind of church it was.

"Are you a love-your-neighbor church," I asked? "Or is yours a we-are-tight-with-Jesus-we've-got-ours church?"

She understood my question, and nodded ruefully. She said, "We are a love-your-neighbor church. It is hard now, but there are still a few of us left."

Love-your-neighbor churches exist, but they are not the face of Christianity in public life in America.

Public political Christianity today functions less as a coherent ethical and spiritual framework and more as a form of collective identity, akin to team allegiance. I realize that many individual Christians practice their faith with earnest sincerity, but the public-facing expression of Christianity in the United States increasingly resembles sports fandom. It looks like cheering for the Oregon Ducks or the Boston Red Sox. Team Christian is Team Republican.

Pew Research reports that 72 percent of White Evangelicals support Trump.


Team identity, whether in sports or politics, depends on readily identifiable symbols. Ducks fans rally around the “O” and whatever colors Phil Knight has the Ducks wearing this week; Red Sox supporters gravitate to the iconic “B.”


The cross, Bible, and other Christian imagery serve a similar role. They are displays of group membership. 

The analogy extends further with narratives of rivalry, e.g. between the Boston Red Sox and the New York Yankees. The GOP isn't held together by the glue of consistent policy. The glue is dislike of Democrats and their brand symbols. Lock Hillary up! Drink liberal tears!

 


At the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot Christian flags and large wooden crosses appeared prominently alongside Trump banners, “Make America Great Again” banners, and “Jesus Is My Savior, Trump Is My President” signs. 

Team fans do not evaluate their team’s actions on moral grounds; they assess them in terms of advantage and victory. Christianity encompasses centuries of theological debate, multiple denominational histories, and a range of ethical perspectives. When Christianity functions as sociopolitical team identity, its ethical teachings on humility, forgiveness, or care for the vulnerable are reshaped to be consistent with the current Republican political agenda. The tail wags the dog. Christianity bend to politics.

   -- Feed the hungry? Yeah, right. Cut USAID and SNAP. 
   -- Welcome the stranger? Yeah, right. Deport them to Uganda.
   -- Love your neighbor? Yeah, right. They eat dogs; they are garbage.

The liberal church still exists. There are "a few of us left," as the minister said. They are nearly invisible in the public square. Christians wearing MAGA hats sell a more popular product than Jesus' did: What's yours is yours, foreigners are enemies, and America first. Christian practice is hard. Generosity and empathy to strangers and rivals go against the grain of human nature. 

The modern GOP and the modern Evangelical Church are in a sweet spot of easy politics and ethics, each complementing the other. They seem content in this marriage. Public evangelical Christianity is Trumpism: selfish, cruel, xenophobic, and violent. They have made an idol of Trump. It is the best of both worlds from a marketing perspective: un-Christian human nature combined with all the branding and tradition of Christianity. 

This looks like a good partnership -- Trump up front, the watermark imprimitor of Jesus behind him -- but it is not. Christianity is getting the worse part of the deal. 

For what does it profit a man to gain the whole world, but lose his immortal soul?  Mark 8:36



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]

 

Friday, December 5, 2025

The West scared Russia.

Eventually the Russia-Ukraine war will end.


Two things are true:
     -- Russia's invasion of Ukraine is a brutal, indefensible act of aggression. 
     -- The U.S. shaped the geopolitical context in which Moscow concluded that invading Ukraine was necessary.

I was 13 when I watched President Kennedy frighten my parents and the nation. Missiles in Cuba, 90 miles off our shore. I remember that detail. Only 90 miles.
"Unmistakable evidence has established the fact that a series of offensive missile sites are now in preparation on that imprisoned island [Cuba.]"

In a college class on the U.S. presidency five years later, the fall of 1967, I learned from a professor with highly-placed sources in the White House that our response to the presence of nuclear weapons in Cuba nearly set off the very nuclear war we feared. 

Russia has a problem. The vast Eurasian plain offers few natural barriers. Over centuries, Russia endured repeated invasions from the west—Polish armies in the 17th century, Napoleon in the 19th, and Nazi Germany in the 20th. These catastrophes are foundational to Russian strategic culture. A U.S.-aligned military alliance on its border feels, to Moscow, like a historical pattern repeating itself.

After the Soviet collapse, the U.S. championed a vision of Europe “whole and free,” which meant expanding Western institutions eastward. What could be more natural, Western nations thought, than for sovereign states to choose to be part of NATO and the prosperous, democratic west. This vision collided with Russia’s deeply-rooted belief that its security depends on buffer zones; strategic depth. Buffer zones saved Russia from Napoleon. They saved it from Hitler. Land is safety.  A Ukraine integrated into Western political, economic, and military structures represented, to Moscow, not a neutral choice but a direct strategic loss.

The Maidan Revolution crystallized the perception that the enemy was closing in on them. In late 2013, Ukraine President Viktor Yanukovych — elected on a platform that leaned toward Russia — abruptly abandoned plans to sign an association agreement with the European Union. Massive protests erupted in Kyiv’s Maidan Square. Over months of demonstrations, Yanukovych lost control. In February 2014, after security forces fired on protesters and political support collapsed, he fled the country. Parliament removed him from office.

To many Ukrainians, Maidan was a democratic uprising against corruption. Moscow viewed it as a Western-backed regime change. The U.S. had played a visible role: Senior officials like Assistant Secretary of State Victoria Nuland and Senator John McCain visited Kyiv during the protests and encouraged them to continue. A phone call leaked in which Nuland and other U.S. officials discussed preferred post-Yanukovych political outcomes. Moscow feared an enemy at the gates.

All wars eventually end, either in a win, a loss, or some kind of negotiated settlement.  Deals get struck. Someone is unhappy; probably everyone. The Russia-Ukraine war will end. I expect some kind of unsatisfactory land-for-peace carve-up of Ukraine. I won't like it. It will seem unfair to Ukraine. I will be reminded of Munich, Hitler, and Czechoslovakia.  

My sensibilities here are irrelevant. Russia's sensibilities are central. Russia is a great regional power and it wants what such powers think are essential to their long-term safety. They want space. 

The Hitler-Munich analogy is one way to think about the end of this war. If the war ends on any terms other than Russia's complete withdrawal from Ukraine, then I expect the settlement to be condemned by Americans on both the right and left as another MunichAny possible end to the war will give something to Russia and that will give excellent justification to complain that the resolution is unfair, immoral, and sets a bad precedent. 

But in anticipation of some future settlement, I am attempting to hold two conflicting ideas in mind. The instructive analogy from history may be both Munich and the Cuban Missile Crisis. It requires something unpleasant to do: imagining the situation from the point of view of Russia. Russia was in the situation that JFK found himself.

The West didn't cause Russia's invasion. But the West underestimated the geopolitical shock of Maidan and how Russia would perceive Ukraine's lean toward NATO and the EU. Russia doesn't think it is acting out of ambition alone. It thinks it is acting out of necessity.  Necessity is a powerful motivator. It is diplomatic malpractice not to think through how Russia might perceive a Ukraine tilting toward the EU and NATO.  America risked blowing up the world to stop missiles from being within 90 miles of our shores. I expect Russia to be equally adamant and I expect that to show up in whatever resolution there is to this war.


[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]

.


Thursday, December 4, 2025

A rsponse to yesterday's post.

Yesterday I published a post arguing that land acknowledgements are a bad idea.

I said they create backlash that hurts their intended purpose.


Click here for yesterday's post


Herb Rothschild has a comment on my post.


Herb Rothschild (Harvard, PhD 1966) taught English literature at LSU and later at the University of Houston. During that time and after he retired, he was active in justice and peace work, first in the Civil Rights movement and later in work to end the U.S.-U.S.S.R. nuclear arms race. Since moving with his wife to the Rogue Valley in 2009, he has continued such work. In 2021, after the commercial paper serving Ashland folded, he helped found the non-profit Ashland.news, for which he writes a weekly column.


Guest Post by Herb Rothschild
Should we take responsibility for the past? If so, why and how? And how far into the past should our responsibility extend? These questions arise from the Up Close blog of December 3, in which Peter maintained that land acknowledgements are “a disastrous idea: bad history, bad patriotism, and very bad politics.”

Am I obligated to make amends for injuries I did to people in the past, even though the law doesn’t compel me to? Am I obligated to make amends if my father swindled someone out of his life savings, even though I’m not legally compelled? And even if I don’t make amends, am I obliged to at least acknowledge such wrongs if for no other reason than not to repeat them?

How much of this can we extrapolate from individual history to social history? If all the parents of my group injured all the parents of another group, can the two groups live in harmony without any acknowledgement of that past? As Faulkner wrote, “The past is never dead. It’s not even past.”

To illustrate that truth, consider those who wish to sanitize the history of African-Americans in school textbooks. The very politicians who claimed that acknowledging things like the violent denial of Black participation in elections teaches kids to be ashamed of their country (a view Peter came close to echoing in his blog) seized upon the U.S. Supreme Court’s gutting of the Voting Rights Act twelve years ago to pass laws once again making it difficult for Blacks to vote. That was not coincidental. Controlling the past is one way to control the present.

Turning to settler treatment of Native Americans, the focus of the land acknowledgements, Peter casts that enormous harm as something in the distant past: “I don’t feel guilty over the behavior of other people’s great-great grand-parents.” The harm, however, didn’t end once the tribes were confined to reservations.

Forcibly taking Native children from their families on the reservations and putting them in the notorious Indian boarding schools, whose purpose was to eradicate their identity, began early in the 19th century and didn’t end until end until 1969. Remains of dead children are still being excavated at some of the sites. Many survivors are still alive. Jim Bear Jacobs, director of community engagement and racial justice for the Minnesota Council of Churches in Minneapolis, noted that “every Native person alive today is no more than three generations removed from a direct ancestor being in boarding school.”

Native lands are still under attack. Ignoring Native claims whenever there are valuable minerals to be extracted from them is an old story. Uranium mining on many reservations left mountains of tailings still emitting low level radiation. It’s also a current story. To take only one example, the Thacker Pass Lithium Mine is under construction on 18,000 acres of ancestral lands of the Northern Paiute and Western Shoshone peoples.

Peter mistakenly conflated guilt with responsibility. Just as counselors tell addicts, “It’s not your fault, but it is your responsibility,” so the purposes of the land acknowledgements—and any acknowledgement of past injustices—are to recognize what happened, understand the consequences, and make sure there are no repetitions.

I feel no guilt that I live on 10 acres that long ago were wrested by force from a Native people. I have no intention of trying to return the land to their descendants. But I will continue to donate to the American Indian College Fund, to lobby Congress to pass the bill establishing the Truth and Healing Commission on Indian Boarding School Policies in the United States, and to oppose mining on Native lands without their consent.

Such commitments don’t place me in a political faction (Peter’s “the Left”) constituted by “aggrieved peoples.” They place me among people committed to justice. It matters not which party is in power if its leaders don’t understand that the goal of politics is justice, a community in which each of us has a fair shot at realizing our potential and all of us are encouraged to be our best selves.

 


[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]



Wednesday, December 3, 2025

A primary election in Oregon senate district 3

Denise Krause files for State Senate.

Incumbent State Senator Jeff Golden has a primary election opponent.

Denise Krause

Last week Jeff Golden learned that Republican Brad Hicks, the former CEO of the Chamber of Greater Medford and Jackson County, filed for the office of State Senate.

Today Golden learned that Democrat Denise Krause filed as well.

Krause is a retired health care executive. She served as the director of research and education information technology at the University of Mississippi Medical Center and has a doctorate degree in preventive medicine. She moved to Jackson County in 2017 after retiring to be closer to her family. 

Krause is a familiar name in local politics. She spearheaded the effort to reform the Jackson County commission with three initiative petitions. One would have made the commissioner job nonpartisan. The second would have increased the number of commissioners from three to five. The third, which would take place only if voters increased the number of commissioners, would have reduced the salary of commissioners to about $75,000 from its current level of about $150,000. The salary-cut measure passed with a large majority, but because the measure that would have increased the number of commissioners did not pass, the salary cut did not go into effect. The effort was the result of a large grass-roots effort, gathering over 10,000 signatures for each measure.

Filing data, Oregon Secretary of State

She said she thought Golden was vulnerable because he supported creation of a fire map to help homeowners identify areas of wildfire concern. He later decided the map caused more problems than benefits, and succeeded in rescinding the maps. The map creates some criticism on Facebook and other social media sites.

Jeff Golden announced this week that he hoped to serve another term as state senator. He said that Republican support in the state legislature for President Trump's agenda, including National Guard troops in Portland, cuts to food benefits, and cuts to health insurance subsidies for health insurance bought on exchanges, caused him to decide to run again. Golden is part of the Democratic majority in the Oregon state senate in a state that has been voting reliably blue for several decades. There are strong Democratic majorities in metropolitan Portland. On Tuesday, Golden said that he thought part of his job was to  represent the interests of Southern Oregon within this Democratic majority of upstate legislators. This district is the only one with a Democratic state senator in the eastern and southern part of the state.

The primary election will take place in May, 2026; the general election will take place in November, 2026.



[Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]




Land acknowledgements are a bad idea

Land acknowledgement statements are well-intentioned.

But they are a disastrous idea: bad history, bad patriotism, and very bad politics.

My local university has a prescribed land acknowledgment, with instructions that it is to be read in full and without change. Southern Oregon University's web page on the acknowledgement shows a photo of historic property populated by indigenous people at the time of White settlement in the 1850s: Lower Table Rock. My farm is located just off the right side of this photo, on flat pumice soil where I grow grapes and find arrowheads.


SOU’s Land Acknowledgment: 
We want to take this moment to acknowledge that Southern Oregon University is located within the ancestral homelands of the Shasta, Takelma, and Latgawa peoples who lived here since time immemorial. These Tribes were displaced during rapid Euro-American colonization, the Gold Rush, and armed conflict between 1851 and 1856. In the 1850s, discovery of gold and settlement brought thousands of Euro-Americans to their lands, leading to warfare, epidemics, starvation, and villages being burned. In 1853 the first of several treaties were signed, confederating these Tribes and others together – who would then be referred to as the Rogue River Tribe. These treaties ceded most of their homelands to the United States, and in return they were guaranteed a permanent homeland reserved for them. At the end of the Rogue River Wars in 1856, these Tribes and many other Tribes from western Oregon were removed to the Siletz Reservation and the Grand Ronde Reservation. Today, the Confederated Tribes of the Grand Ronde Community of Oregon and the Confederated Tribes of Siletz Indians are living descendants of the Takelma, Shasta, and Latgawa peoples of this area. We encourage YOU to learn about the land you reside on, and to join us in advocating for the inherent sovereignty of Indigenous people.

A land acknowledgement has a political purpose central to the politics of the American left. At its political apogee about 2020, the left understood itself to be primarily a coalition of aggrieved people: Blacks, Hispanics, Women, homosexuals, labor union members, immigrants, the disabled, the overweight, the unemployed, the homeless, the poor -- everyone except healthy, prosperous White men. Such a big tent, promising huge and growing majorities. Descendants of people displaced by White settlers were archetypal victims, deserving land acknowledgements and casinos.


Land entitlement due to possession from "time-immemorial" is a sentimental falsehood. The pattern of languages and movement of tribes show that indigenous people in North America did exactly what humans do everywhere and always. They move around and fight over land and resources. They kill and interbreed with their neighbors. We are the descendants of nomads and conquerors. There is no peaceful, settled Eden-like original state of native people anywhere. The tribes listed in the land acknowledgement were fighting among themselves over turf and resources when White people arrived, and are fighting now using the courts to see who gets "dibs" on Southern Oregon gamblers. 

The local tribes were displaced brutally by White settlers and the U.S. Army in the 1850s. They moved in and squatted and broke promises and ignored treaties in order to do it. They continued a time immemorial cycle of movement and demographic change. 

The political left imagines itself to be protectors of the disadvantaged groups in its coalition, and therefore entitled to its members' votes. It is time to rethink this. People are voting like Americans, not like aggrieved members of groups. Democrats are slow to get it: a gay Republican; a labor union Republican; a Hispanic Republican; a Black Republican; a female Republican. How can that be??? Answer: They are Americans.

The land acknowledgement is a profoundly self-destructive message for the political left. It declares there is something uniquely criminal and illegitimate about the origins of America. Shame on you, America! Shame on you Americans!

The land acknowledgment does not celebrate pluralism, democracy or liberal respect and toleration. It is the opposite of the Pledge of Allegiance, with the aspiration of liberty and justice for all.

I don't feel guilty over the behavior of other people's great-great grand-parents, wherever they were. I suspect that few people do. Half my relatives were miserably poor and living in Greece when Southern Oregon was being settled. Others were in Connecticut and fought for the North in the Civil War. The land acknowledgement doesn't come across as informative. It reads like a guilt-trip lecture. I want to look forward with hope, not backward with collective guilt that I do not feel. 

Trump is president in part because he is riding backlash to the left's frame of oppressor and oppressed. A great many people who voted for Trump are disgusted by him, but they voted for him anyway because Democrats seemed even worse. Trump said America was great. Voters heard that. Democrats seem to be saying that America is systematically criminal. Voters hear that, too.

Americans don't feel guilty, not for a past they weren't here to shape. 


Note: To get daily delivery of this blog to your email go to: https://petersage.substack.com and subscribe. The blog is free and always will be.]